Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Highlight Changed Discussion --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
132 FXUS66 KMTR 281023 AFDMTR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Francisco CA 323 AM PDT Tue May 28 2024 ...New SYNOPSIS, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SYNOPSIS...
-- Changed Discussion --
Issued at 255 AM PDT Tue May 28 2024 Near seasonal temps inland again today with the coast remaining cool under a well-formed marine layer. Pleasant weather continues through the week.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .SHORT TERM...
-- Changed Discussion --
(Today and tonight) Issued at 255 AM PDT Tue May 28 2024 Another day with temperatures right around seasonal averages across inland areas. Coastal areas will still be under the influence of a stout marine layer with cool temps in the upper 50s to near 60. Passing upper trough through the PacNW flattens out our ridge a bit, putting a slight pause on the warming as we move into the middle part of the week. Overall no major changes to the short term period.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .LONG TERM...
-- Changed Discussion --
(Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 255 AM PDT Tue May 28 2024 The cooling trend will be short-lived as the flattened ridge begins to build back over the region with warming 850 mb temps and rising 500 mb heights. Still looks like night/morning clouds with inland afternoon sunshine will persist. The warming trend will continue into this weekend with the warmest temps expected Thursday and Friday. Far inland locations will reach the low 90s by week`s end.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM PDT Tue May 28 2024 Stratus will build into area terminals throughout the night, leading to predominantly IFR/MVFR CIGs across coastal terminals. Only far inland terminals are expected to remain VFR through the night tonight, though a FEW low clouds may build in the mid morning of Tuesday. Late clearing of stratus is expected, towards the late morning. Into the afternoon, gusty onshore winds are expected, with gusts generally in the 20-25 knot range, higher at SFO. Winds will be slow to ease, with breezy conditions lingering through the end of the TAF period. Vicinity of SFO...MVFR conditions last through the late morning. At this time, highest confidence is in an 18Z clearing, ushering in VFR conditions as westerly winds begin to increase. Gusts will steadily build in the afternoon, reaching up to around 30-33 knots at the strongest. Into the late night, winds are slow to ease with gusts above 20-25 knots persisting as night begins to fall. It is not until the early morning of Wednesday that gusts are expected to decrease, with sustained winds lowering to become breezy. SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO. Monterey Bay Terminals...LIFR/IFR conditions persist through the late morning. Stratus expected to begin to lift and mix out towards 18Z, bringing a return of brief VFR conditions. Winds increase out of the NW to become breezy around 15 knots, with occasional gusts closer to the 20 knot range. Stratus returns bringing IFR/MVFR CIGs in the early evening. && .MARINE... (Tonight through next Saturday) Issued at 442 PM PDT Mon May 27 2024 Breezy to gusty northwest winds continuing across the coastal waters through the week with westerly breezes increasing each afternoon and evening across the bays. Wave heights beginning to increase by the middle of the work week up to 11 to 13 feet. && .MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
-- Changed Discussion --
CA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Wednesday for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM. Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Wednesday for Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& $$ SHORT TERM...Behringer LONG TERM....Behringer AVIATION...AC MARINE...SO Visit us at www.weather.gov/sanfrancisco Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/nwsbayarea www.twitter.com/nwsbayarea www.youtube.com/nwsbayarea