499
FNUS73 KABR 200339
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Clubhouse GPA...State of South Dakota
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
1039 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2300 CDT on May 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Not sure why this location came in twice for a request.
Showers and thunderstorms are ongoing at the Clubhouse GPA site.
Given the history of these storms, and that they are weakening, it
is estimated that around 0.30 inches of rain will fall through 0200
Monday. Winds will remain out of the northwest during much of the
daytime hours Monday, relative humidity falling to near 50 percent.
A widespread rain is expected during the day Tuesday, with rainfall
amounts 0.50 to around 1 inch.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    late in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night. Chance of rain showers
                    overnight.
CWR.................52 percent decreasing to 4 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................3 until 0100, then 2 until 0200, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 13 mph shifting to the west 6
                    to 7 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 13 mph shifting to the northwest 9
                    to 12 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........100 91  82  74  61  65  58
Weather cov.....DEF CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).90  30  20  10  10  10  10
Temp............60  59  58  56  54  53  53
RH..............78  83  86  92  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  S   S   S   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  10  10  9   7   6   7
20 FT wind gust.20  18  17  15  13  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    north around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-4300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 13 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (56300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 (very low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  73  77  75  75  75  72  64  58  53  55  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............51  53  53  54  57  59  61  63  64  65  65  66
RH..............100 100 100 96  83  78  70  62  60  56  54  50
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   9   10  12  13  14  15  15  15  15  14  14
20 FT wind gust.14  15  16  17  20  20  22  22  22  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.2
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening. Chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening.
CWR.................6 percent increasing to 17 percent overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 9 to 12 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......500-3800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 14 mph shifting to the northeast 12
                    to 17 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (45300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  63  62  74  81  88  80  81  81  89  92  94
Weather cov.....    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  30  30  40  30  40  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............65  64  61  59  56  55  54  53  52  52  51  51
RH..............52  54  62  67  72  74  80  80  86  86  86  86
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..14  13  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  12
20 FT wind gust.21  20  18  17  16  15  15  15  15  16  17  18
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7
Smoke Dispersal.FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...KF
Requested by...Zac Hook
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414693.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Zachariah.hook@state.sd.us