Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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FNAK51 PAFC 231159
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
359 AM AKDT Thu May 23 2024

.DISCUSSION...

Shower activity and cloud cover will decrease across much of
southcentral Alaska today. The exception will be across the Copper
River Basin where precipitation will linger through much of the
day, primarily north and east of Glennallen. Light snow
accumulation is possible for the higher elevations and towards
Isabel and Mentasta Passes.

The driest air today will be across the western Kenai, where RHs
will likely bottom out in the 40s with perhaps even some 30s
possible during the late afternoon hours.

By Friday the next wave of precipitation will spread across the
Kenai and areas farther east. Much of the precip will be confined
to the coast but portions of the western Kenai, Anchorage bowl,
and Mat-Su Valley may receive some light rain. Wetting rains will
be limited and spotty at best for those locations. Farther east,
the Copper River Basin will be drier with RHs bottoming out in the
35-45 percent range in the afternoon with gusty south winds.

-Brown

AKZ101-240300-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
359 AM AKDT Thu May 23 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           0            60
TEMP (24H TREND)   44 (-5)      27-33 (0)    45
RH % (24H TREND)   75-82 (+26)  86-98 (0)    68-79
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-7       W 1-6        SE 5-17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2616                      3766
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  8                      SE 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  21299                     41580
CWR                0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           0            50
TEMP (24H TREND)   55 (0)       40 (0)       55
RH % (24H TREND)   50-63 (+10)  79-85 (-12)  47-61
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 3-5       W 1-6        S 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3205                      3745
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  6                      SE  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  20312                     33453
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-240300-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
359 AM AKDT Thu May 23 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           40           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   42 (-4)      25-32 (-1)   40-46
RH % (24H TREND)   78-88 (+35)  92-100 (0)   64-76
20FTWND(MPH)       W 3-6        W 2-5        S 2-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2060                      4277
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  7                      S  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  14607                     38389
CWR                0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   54 (-3)      41 (-1)      56
RH % (24H TREND)   55-72 (+21)  83-89 (-7)   47-58
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 4-7       SW 1-6       S 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3565                      4583
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW  7                     S  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  20870                     44646
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-240300-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
359 AM AKDT Thu May 23 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           30           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   46-58 (+1)   37 (0)       44-53
RH % (24H TREND)   37-67 (+6)   80-88 (-8)   53-71
20FTWND(MPH)       W 3-7        SW 3-8       NE 0-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4970                      3455
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  9                      E  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  37797                     29865
CWR                0            0            40
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHWRS        RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            60           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   50-58 (+6)   38 (+1)      45-52
RH % (24H TREND)   37-53 (-15)  87 (-7)      57-78
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 5-11      SW 6-11      N 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4461                      2592
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 12                     NE  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  36003                     23085
CWR                0            0            40
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-240300-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
359 AM AKDT Thu May 23 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           20           80
TEMP (24H TREND)   40-50 (+5)   29-35 (+1)   38-48
RH % (24H TREND)   60-73 (-3)   81-92 (0)    62-76
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 7-14      NW 4-11      E 6-14
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2807                      2430
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 13                     E 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  34590                     32115
CWR                0            0            50
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            40           100
TEMP (24H TREND)   42-52 (+6)   33-40 (+2)   38-47
RH % (24H TREND)   55-72 (-16)  74-89 (-14)  58-73
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 7-18      NW 5-14      E 4-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1769                      1940
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW 14                     E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  23001                     27360
CWR                0            0            60
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-240300-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
359 AM AKDT Thu May 23 2024

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN    SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  100          80           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   34-44 (-2)   24-33 (+1)   32-44
RH % (24H TREND)   71-86 (+19)  90-99 (0)    64-84
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 2-8       NW 2-8       S 2-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3190                      5868
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW  8                     S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  33150                     96174
CWR                70           20           10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           40           30
TEMP (24H TREND)   53 (-1)      41 (+1)      55
RH % (24H TREND)   61-67 (+18)  88 (-3)      40-50
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 3-7       W 2-6        S 6-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3355                      6524
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)NW  8                     S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  31430                     110322
CWR                40           0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF Showers.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-240300-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
359 AM AKDT Thu May 23 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           30           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   41-48 (0)    35 (+2)      39-46
RH % (24H TREND)   63-78 (+17)  90-99 (0)    67-81
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 2-8       W 2-6        SW 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3765                      4376
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W  7                      SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  27139                     37242
CWR                0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        PCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         NONE         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           0            40
TEMP (24H TREND)   56 (+2)      40 (0)       50-56
RH % (24H TREND)   49-61 (+2)   81-91 (0)    46-63
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 1-6       SW 3-7       S 1-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4947                      5662
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW  6                     S  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)  24115                     42984
CWR                0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$