Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
286 FXUS64 KBMX 220609 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 109 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday) Issued at 108 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2024 High pressure remains in control today so any showers that develop to our west should dissipate as they work into our northwest. Cannot rule out a few sprinkles in Marion, Winston, Lamar, or Fayette counties so included a 10 percent chance here. Not expecting anything measurable though. Look for scattered fair weather cumulus this afternoon. Tonight, the ridge will slide ever so slowly to the east and the clouds and rain will begin to make some southeastward progress. With that said though the areas that may see rain before sunrise Thursday will generally be the northwestern 5 counties. This trend continues on Thursday across the north as the front makes barely any movement south. Generally the best areas for isolated to scattered showers/storms will be the northwest once again. A shower/storm could approach the north side of the Birmingham metro, but most of the activity will remain north. Highs each day will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. 16 && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through next Monday) Issued at 221 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2024 No significant changes to the forecast. North Alabama will be on the southern end of the westerlies with several rounds of showers and storms impacting areas mainly north of I-20. A deepening upper trough early next week could result in more widespread rain across Alabama. Highs each day in the upper 80s to lower 90s. 58/rose && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 108 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2024 All sites should remain VFR through the period, with passing mid and high clouds through the period. Light surface winds overnight will rebound to 5-8 kts during the day with scattered coverage of fair weather cumulus developing by midday. Additional high clouds will build in after 00z from west to east. 16 && .FIRE WEATHER... High pressure will be in control through Thursday. Min RH values this afternoon and Thursday 45 to 50 percent. 20 foot winds will be generally 4 to 6 mph from the south. Max RH levels tonight will be above 90 percent. Next chance for wetting rain Thursday night across the northwest, with chances for rain across the northern counties on Friday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 89 66 89 66 / 10 10 20 10 Anniston 89 67 89 67 / 10 10 10 10 Birmingham 90 70 89 69 / 10 10 10 10 Tuscaloosa 90 69 89 69 / 10 10 10 10 Calera 88 68 88 68 / 10 10 10 10 Auburn 86 68 86 68 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 90 68 89 68 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 89 67 89 67 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...16 LONG TERM....58 AVIATION...16