Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
884
FNUS75 KBOU 272020
FWSBOU
Spot Forecast for Buffalo Structure...North Fork Fire
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
220 PM MDT Mon May 27 2024
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Mostly dry conditions will persist with generally
easterly winds through the rest of this afternoon. There is just a
slight risk (10% chance) of a light rain shower or rumble of
thunder this afternoon with variable wind gusts up to 20-30 mph.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 11 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms after 1600.
Mixing height.......11300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 11 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good until 1500. Good after 1700.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27 40 50 49
Weather cov..... SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 2 2
Temp............70 71 71 70
RH..............21 20 20 21
20 FT wind dir..E E E E
20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 7
20 FT wind gust.15 13 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...12 11 11 9.9
Transp wind dir.W W W NW
Transp wind spd.14 13 12 12
Haines index....5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..141 124 105 99
SmokeDispersion.VG VG VG G
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph until 2100, then variable
up to 5 mph until 2300, then southwest 5 to 7
mph until 0100, then west around 5 mph until
0300, then southwest until 0500, then variable
up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......8300 ft AGL until 1900. 1200 ft AGL after 2000.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph until 1900, then
northeast around 10 mph until 2000, then light
until 2300, then southwest around 8 mph until
0100, then west until 0300, then light until
0400, then southwest 8 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then fair until 2000, then
poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........43 36 30 27 28 24 24 22 13 11 13 14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............68 65 60 57 54 53 52 51 50 48 46 45
RH..............22 26 32 37 41 43 44 44 46 47 51 58
20 FT wind dir..E E E S SW SW SW W W W SW W
20 FT wind spd..7 6 5 3 3 5 5 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.12 9 7 6 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...8.3 6.3 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Transp wind dir.NW NE N NW SE SW SW NW W W SW SW
Transp wind spd.12 10 7 6 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 7
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..83 56 11 7 6 7 5 5 5 6 6 7
SmokeDispersion.G F P P P P P P P P P P
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1300, then
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................8 percent increasing to 30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3 until 1500, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph until 0800, then
variable up to 5 mph until 1100, then east 5 to
8 mph until 1400, then northeast 7 to 12 mph
until 1700, then east around 8 mph. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
1200 until 1500Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms after 1500.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL until 1000, then 6300 ft AGL until
1100, then 10900 ft AGL until 1500, then 7500
ft AGL until 1700, then 4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph until 0800, then 8 to 10
mph until 1000, then light until 1100, then
southwest 8 to 11 mph until 1300, then east
around 12 mph until 1400, then northeast 11 to
16 mph until 1600, then south around 9 mph
until 1700, then east around 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then good until 1300, then
very good until 1500, then good until 1600,
then fair until 1700, then poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10 7 6 6 15 28 46 58 67 76 79 75
Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 30 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 4
Temp............46 50 55 60 65 68 69 70 70 68 66 63
RH..............55 50 45 37 31 27 26 25 26 31 34 39
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW S SE E E E NE NE NE E
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 5 8 8 9 10 9 8
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 7 13 13 15 16 15 13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.2 2.4 3.6 6.3 9.4 11 11 10 7.8 6.2 4.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW W W W SW E NE NE S E
Transp wind spd.6 6 7 7 7 8 9 12 13 13 9 8
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6 6 14 22 38 66 87 110 110 86 49 31
SmokeDispersion.P P P P P G G VG VG G F P
$$
Forecaster...Barjenbruch
Requested by...Michelle
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415151.0/BOU
.DELDT 05/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michelle.young@jeffcom911.org