981
ACUS48 KWNS 270847
SWOD48
SPC AC 270846

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0346 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024

Valid 301200Z - 041200Z

...DISCUSSION...
On the leading edge of a slowly progressive regime emanating from
the northern mid-latitude Pacific, it appears that larger-scale
mid-level troughing will contribute to the suppression of amplified
downstream mid-level ridging across the Northwestern Ontario/Upper
Midwest vicinity late this week.  Thereafter, potential flow
evolution across the eastern Pacific through North America next
weekend into early next week becomes highly uncertain due to
continuing sizable spread within/among the various medium-range
model output.

Undoubtedly, there will developing areas of sufficient
destabilization and shear to support at least some risk for
organized severe weather on a daily basis.  However, there is little
indication at this time that this risk will exceed seasonal norms,
at least on a regional scale.

..Kerr.. 05/27/2024