Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
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432 FXUS63 KDDC 290443 AFDDDC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 1143 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - More showers and storms tonight - More showers and storms tomorrow - Relatively wet for rest of period && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 222 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 A complex of showers and thunderstorms will develop across the greater region this afternoon and evening. Activity will be scattered in nature with a hit or miss variety of activity. Rain amounts will be widely variable with amounts between none and one inch. There is about 30-40 kt of bulk shear, which could lead to strong to low end severe storm activity with hail and wind being the main threats. The main focus on this activity will be relegated to the W and SW zones where CAPE and bulk shear is maximized. Otherwise, seasonal lows are expected tonight with values in the upper 50s to lower 60s. For tomorrow, PWATS will continue to remain above normal with plenty of moisture in the lower atmosphere. As such, expect another diurnal round of showers and thunderstorms moving out of Colorado and across western Kansas. Some marginally severe activity with this second round cannot be ruled out. Highs tomorrow will actually be quite pleasant with values within a few degrees of 80F. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 222 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 The continue summer-like pattern continue through much of the business week. This will favor seasonably warm temperatures and daily MCS shower and thunderstorm activity. Will have to watch out for isolated strong to severe activity each day as plenty of CAPE and marginal bulk shear will be present for isolated bouts of strong to severe activity. Hail and wind would be the main threats along with some heavy rainfall. This activity will continue to remain of the hit or miss variety, so nailing down specific rainfall amounts is an exercise in futility. Will have to watch out though for those areas that are lucky enough to see storms for heavy rainfall through the next several days. Highs and lows will be relatively close to seasonal normals with perhaps trending to slightly above normal as we finish the business week. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1141 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 VFR conditions will prevail throughout the period with scattered mid level cloudiness. Winds will generally be from a southelry direction, gusting to above 20 knots this afternoon. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Sugden LONG TERM...Sugden AVIATION...Hovorka_42