Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
905
FNUS73 KDLH 191132
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for Inch Lake RX...WI DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
632 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on May 19.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
The morning will start out clear, but will become increasingly
cloudy as a low pressure approaches the Northland. Ahead of this
system, however, we are still under a high pressure and dry
conditions will precede the low system. Minimum RHs this afternoon
will be in the mid 20s. Winds, however will be on the lighter
side today, remaining below 10 mph. While a lake breeze reaching
the burn site today is not expected, it cannot be ruled out that a
lake breeze develops late this afternoon - especially since
surface winds will be weaker today. There is a slight chance for
some sprinkles later this afternoon, but it may fall as virga to
begin before finally reaching the ground this evening as the
system battles the dry air.
Most of the rain will fall overnight, but some light rain showers
will persist into Monday morning. This will be a relatively wet
day (RHs above 50%) with light winds.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly
cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL in the
late morning and early afternoon, then
increasing to 6200 ft AGL late in the afternoon
decreasing to 3800 ft AGL late in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 14 mph increasing to 12 to 21 mph in
the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
to the south around 12 mph late in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4000-18900 knot-ft) increasing to
excellent (66500-90700 knot-ft) in the late
morning and early afternoon, then decreasing to
good (37500-45400 knot-ft) late in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............53 55 62 66 68 71 72 73 74 72 72
RH..............64 61 50 42 37 32 30 29 29 33 34
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.8 9 11 12 12 13 12 12 12 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.8 1.6 3.9 5.0 5.7 5.7 6.2 6.2 4.5 3.8
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W SW S
Transp wind spd.10 12 14 20 21 18 17 14 14 12 12
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/10004 8 19 67 90 91 85 75 74 45 38
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
sprinkles in the evening, then rain showers
likely overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming southeast around
5 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4400-23400 knot-ft) decreasing to
poor (3100 knot-ft) in the late evening and
overnight.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.30 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 20 20 50
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............70 64 58 57 56 55
RH..............39 50 59 64 66 72
20 ft wind......S 4 S 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 3 SE 4
20 ft wind gust.8 5 5 6 7 9
Mix hgt (ft)....2300 600 400 400 500 600
Transport wind..S 12 S 9 S 9 S 9 S 12 S 12
Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100023 4 4 4 5 6
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers in
the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
through the day. Chance of rain showers in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0700, then 2 until 1000, then 1 until
1300, then 2 until 1600, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
southwest around 6 mph early in the afternoon,
then shifting to the northwest late in the
afternoon shifting to the north around 5 mph
late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph shifting to the northwest
late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4000-17300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.15 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).80 60 50 40 40 40
LAL.............1 2 1 1 2 1
Temp............54 55 60 63 66 66
RH..............83 90 81 78 70 68
20 ft wind......SE 4 SE 4 SE 5 S 5 SW 5 N 5
20 ft wind gust.9 9 11 9 9 8
Mix hgt (ft)....600 900 1000 1500 1800 1800
Transport wind..S 8 S 12 S 13 S 13 SW 10 W 8
Haines index....4 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10004 9 11 16 16 13
$$
Forecaster...Krystal
Requested by...Eric Sirrine
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414590.1/DLH
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Eric.sirrine@wi.gov