Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
920 FXXX01 KWNP 172201 DAYDSF :Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt :Issued: 2024 May 17 2200 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast. # :Solar_Analysis: Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M7.2 event that was in progress as of this report from Region 3685 (S13E50, Ds0/beta-gamma). There are currently 12 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. # :Solar_Forecast: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days one, two, and three (18 May, 19 May, 20 May). # :Geophysical_Activity: Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to major storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 497 km/s at 17/1849Z. Total IMF reached 17 nT at 17/1404Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -15 nT at 17/1651Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 7 pfu at 17/0250Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 205 pfu. # :Geophysical_Forecast: Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (18 May) and quiet to active levels on days two and three (19 May, 20 May). Protons greater than 10 Mev have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (18 May).