Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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973
FNUS53 KDTX 221948
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
348 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...Windy conditions subside this evening but become breezy
from the southwest at around 20 mph tomorrow. Dry and warm
conditions tomorrow with highs around 80 and min RH dropping below
30 percent. Some moisture returns on Friday with temperatures taking
a step up into the lower 80s. Shower and storm chances then arrive
late Friday into parts of Saturday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-231415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
348 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4510-5010 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1215).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7980-8480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1474).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........69-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......620-820 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-231415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
348 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........40-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5090-5590 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1328).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........80-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........28-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7590-8090 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1495).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......580-780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-231415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
348 PM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5750-6250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1530).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........77-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........23-33 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7610-8110 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1288).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........67-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......560-760 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely late and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs around 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. East winds around 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs around 70.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s.

$$

TF