Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
373 FNUS53 KDTX 220809 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 409 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .DISCUSSION...A cold front will move through today which will bring a low chance for showers and thunderstorms. Otherwise, breezy southwest flow with gusts around 30-35 mph will be likely this morning and afternoon. Dry tomorrow, with minimum RH values dropping into the 30s. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-222115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 409 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers until 8 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 am. Slight chance of showers after 8 am until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....72-76. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........43-53 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4270-4770 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west 25 to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1002). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min temperature.....50-56. 24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler. Max humidity........79-88 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West around 15 mph becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Max temperature.....74-78. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........29-39 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......7960-8460 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1200). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-222115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 409 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 11 am. Slight chance of showers until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Max temperature.....76-80. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........45-53 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest 20 to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4410-4910 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1066). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min temperature.....51-56. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Max humidity........81-88 percent. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....74-78. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........31-41 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......7540-8040 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1031). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-222115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 409 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 8 am, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....78-84. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........41-51 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5190-5690 ft agl. Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1139). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Min temperature.....54-58. 24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler. Max humidity........79-89 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Min humidity........25-35 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......7030-7530 ft agl. Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming southwest in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (743). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. .TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. $$ AM