Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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373
FNUS53 KDTX 220809
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
409 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...A cold front will move through today which will bring a
low chance for showers and thunderstorms. Otherwise, breezy
southwest flow with gusts around 30-35 mph will be likely this
morning and afternoon. Dry tomorrow, with minimum RH values dropping
into the 30s.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-222115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
409 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 am. Slight chance of showers after 8 am
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4270-4770 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1002).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West around 15 mph becoming southwest 5 to 10
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7960-8460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1200).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-222115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
409 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Slight chance of
                    showers until 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4410-4910 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph increasing to 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1066).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7540-8040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1031).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-222115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
409 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 8 am, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5190-5690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1139).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........25-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7030-7530 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming southwest in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (743).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s.

$$

AM