415
FNUS53 KDTX 310830
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
430 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure ensures dry and warming conditions today
and most of Saturday, with minimum RH values around 30 percent and
light southern flow across all of southeast Michigan. Rain then
moves in Saturday evening and continues through Sunday morning as a
pair of disturbances track into the lower Michigan.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-312115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
430 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5170-5670 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (499).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3830-4330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (516).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-312115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
430 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly
                    sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........28-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (467).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........71-81 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (558).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-312115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
430 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent) until 2 pm, then mostly
                    sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........22-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4930-5430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (376).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....50-54.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........27-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3960-4460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (653).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. South
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$

MV