120
FNUS73 KDTX 231224
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Black Pond Woods Nature Area...City of Ann Arbor Natural Area Preservation
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
824 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry and warm conditions today with highs around 80
and min RH dropping below 30 percent.
Some moisture returns on Friday with temperatures taking a step up
into the lower 80s. Shower and storm chances then arrive
late Friday into parts of Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke Dispersal....Excellent (MAX...887)...increasing to excellent
                   (MAX...1053) late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2   4   5   5   7   7   8   4   5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............64  70  73  74  76  77  78  78  78
RH..............56  45  39  36  34  32  31  30  30
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.10  11  11  12  13  14  14  14  13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 3.9 5.9 6.6 7.0 7.3 8.1 8.5 8.3
SMOKE DISPER....167 501 889 926 985 1021121211901158

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........65 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 5 to 7 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 15 mph...decreasing to 3 to 5
                    mph after 3 am.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...9).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........6      12     7      3      4      5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............78     74     67     61     58     57
RH..............31     40     51     60     65     61
EYE LVL WND DIR.W      W      NW     NW     NW     NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.7      5      2      2      2      1
EYE LVL WND GST.12     8      6      5      4      4
MIX HGT (KFT)...7800   500    400    400    400    400
SMOKE DISPER....1010   32     28     22     18     11

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds...becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 5 mph...becoming east around 5 mph
                    early in the morning, then becoming south 6
                    to 12 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke Dispersal....Good (MAX...540).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........4         3         4         18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............57        68        77        82
RH..............61        48        36        33
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 1       SE 2      SE 6      SE 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..4         5         8         10
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1200      5100      6300
SMOKE DISPER....10        58        354       597

$$
Forecaster...Freitag
Requested by...Tina Stephens
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414985.0/DTX
.DELDT 05/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tstephens@a2gov.org