Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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976
FNUS21 KWNS 010645
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0144 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024

Valid 011200Z - 021200Z

...Synopsis...
Largely zonal mid-level flow is expected across the CONUS today as a
strengthening shortwave trough moves eastward over the Southwest.
Stronger flow aloft will increase surface winds atop drying fuels
over much of the Southern Great Basin and Southwest. High pressure
off the east coast will also support relatively dry onshore flow
over parts of the FL Peninsula. Elevated fire-weather conditions
appear likely.

...Southwest...
Mid-level flow is forecast to gradually increase today ahead of a
deepening shortwave trough over the Southwest and Four Corners.
Bolstered by the strengthening flow aloft, low-level surface winds
should respond with gusts of 15-25 mph likely during the afternoon
along with minimum RH values below 15%. With little appreciable
rainfall in recent weeks, fuels continue to become more receptive
due to persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single
digits. Widespread elevated fire-weather conditions are likely from
portions of the southern Great Basin into the Four corners.

...Florida...
High pressure off the Atlantic Coast will support persistent and
relatively dry easterly flow over much of the FL Peninsula. With
afternoon high temperatures expected to climb into the upper 80s to
low 90s F, RH values should fall to around 30-35%. The overlap of
10-15 mph surface winds, low RH and the lack of recent rainfall
should support several hours of elevated fire-weather conditions.
Confidence is highest that sustained elevated conditions will be
most likely over western portions of the peninsula where the lowest
humidity is expected.

..Lyons.. 06/01/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$