Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
976 FNUS21 KWNS 010645 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Sat Jun 01 2024 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...Synopsis... Largely zonal mid-level flow is expected across the CONUS today as a strengthening shortwave trough moves eastward over the Southwest. Stronger flow aloft will increase surface winds atop drying fuels over much of the Southern Great Basin and Southwest. High pressure off the east coast will also support relatively dry onshore flow over parts of the FL Peninsula. Elevated fire-weather conditions appear likely. ...Southwest... Mid-level flow is forecast to gradually increase today ahead of a deepening shortwave trough over the Southwest and Four Corners. Bolstered by the strengthening flow aloft, low-level surface winds should respond with gusts of 15-25 mph likely during the afternoon along with minimum RH values below 15%. With little appreciable rainfall in recent weeks, fuels continue to become more receptive due to persistent daily minimum RH in the low teens and single digits. Widespread elevated fire-weather conditions are likely from portions of the southern Great Basin into the Four corners. ...Florida... High pressure off the Atlantic Coast will support persistent and relatively dry easterly flow over much of the FL Peninsula. With afternoon high temperatures expected to climb into the upper 80s to low 90s F, RH values should fall to around 30-35%. The overlap of 10-15 mph surface winds, low RH and the lack of recent rainfall should support several hours of elevated fire-weather conditions. Confidence is highest that sustained elevated conditions will be most likely over western portions of the peninsula where the lowest humidity is expected. ..Lyons.. 06/01/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$