Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
597 FNUS21 KWNS 201639 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1138 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024 Valid 201700Z - 211200Z ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/WESTERN NM AND EASTERN AZ... The forecast remains on track, and only minor adjustments/expansions were made to the Critical highlights in AZ, based on the latest observational data and high-resolution guidance. See the previous discussion below for details. ..Weinman.. 05/20/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0202 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level jet streak will overspread the Southwest this afternoon as a mid-level trough amplifies across the western CONUS. A deeply mixed boundary layer is expected across Arizona and New Mexico with temperatures in the 90s. Some of this stronger flow will mix to the surface amid the deep boundary layer. In addition, lee cyclogenesis will tighten the pressure gradient in the region and aid in stronger surface winds. Sustained surface winds of 25 to 30 mph are expected across New Mexico with some sustained winds over 30 mph in northern Arizona. Single-digit relative humidity is also expected across most of the region. Fuels have started to dry to critical levels across portions of eastern and northern Arizona. Therefore, a Critical delineation is warranted. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$