Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
423 FNUS21 KWNS 221650 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1149 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024 Valid 221700Z - 231200Z The forecast generally remains on track. The Elevated highlights were expanded slightly northward in NM and AZ, where confidence in the overlap of around 20 mph sustained westerly surface winds and 8-10 percent RH atop modestly receptive fuels has increased. For details, see the previous discussion below. ..Weinman.. 05/22/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0122 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024/ ...Synopsis... A deeply mixed air mass is expected across most of NM and portions of eastern AZ this afternoon, where fuels continue to become more receptive, and relatively unidirectional westerly flow will reside in the base of a mid to upper trough. Westerly surface winds will increase to near critical magnitudes across these regions, as RH drops into the single digits. Some locally enhanced wind speeds may heighten fire spread potential across west central NM, but the duration of these should be limited such that a Critical area is not warranted. An Elevated area was considered for northeastern NV, where stronger flow and subsequently higher sustained surface wind speeds are expected. However, confidence in both critical RH developing and receptive fuels across this region is low. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$