Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
929 FNUS21 KWNS 161642 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024 Valid 161700Z - 171200Z ...1700Z Update... A cold front has moved through most of the Permian Basin this morning, with a dryline already pushing eastward into the lower Trans Pecos and Big Bend region. This eastward moving trend of the dryline will continue through afternoon as mostly clear skies allow for good to excellent mixing conditions. Very warm afternoon temperatures from the Davis Mountains southward into the Big Bend, along with dewpoints in the upper teens to low 20s, will result in RH dropping as low as the single digits. West to northwest sustained 15-20 mph winds are still anticipated, with localized Critical sustained winds of 20-25 mph later this afternoon near and south of the Davis Mountains. The only minor change to the Elevated area was to eliminate a small portion of the northern extent based on the current position of the cold front and its slow progression to the south throughout the afternoon. ..Barnes/Nauslar.. 05/16/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0121 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will traverse the southern Plains as a weak surface low develops near the Rio Grande today. Behind the low, isallobaric and downslope northwesterly flow will overspread the Trans Pecos region of Texas during the afternoon. 15+ mph sustained northwesterly surface winds will coincide with 10-20 percent RH and dry fuels, warranting the continuation of Elevated highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$