Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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318
WUUS01 KWNS 240101
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0759 PM CDT THU MAY 23 2024

VALID TIME 240100Z - 241200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39339441 38009566 36959621 35929627 34929590 33919475
       33239387 32279221 31689244 31459277 31289339 30839583
       30619762 30499829 30509892 30599951 30869974 31699976
       34500013 35040005 36889933 37629907 38679886 39339997
       40110095 40670155 41400146 42130093 42930012 43449919
       43609800 43569649 43529492 43409387 43239290 42629194
       42319152 41059220 40079371 39339441
0.02   45500035 45620085 45830129 46060132 46200028 46309916
       46269843 45909790 45439780 44969840 44849918 45439992
       45500035
0.05   39299858 39669969 40210053 40610111 40990126 41330111
       41620063 42139961 42549861 42819770 42889684 42929605
       42919592 42539484 42099423 41709416 41299435 40169527
       40009537 39599583 39309639 39269707 39259708 39299858
0.05   32289603 32479569 32319486 31919414 31469445 31099512
       30949620 30869690 31759662 32289603
0.05   34309998 34649997 34989986 35239927 35179864 34959797
       34339772 33569792 33289842 33239907 33499967 34309998
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   40539229 39299283 38169379 36929447 36059416 35439285
       34879172 34428990 33888943 33368960 32639026 31439229
       31069566 30369768 30249827 30299879 30759972 31269986
       34829994 35829977 37669902 38949949 39420046 40740168
       41630164 42820058 44069978 44860012 45730100 45880167
       46360175 46600173 47050105 47719811 47829707 47739620
       47379529 46609490 45679494 44549494 43769314 42909212
       41509186 40539229
0.15   43649964 44369956 45049976 45610009 46399971 46659956
       46729794 46329731 45429745 44409766 43279698 42229486
       41739458 41119472 40199507 39599526 37259608 36999675
       37149729 38289699 39229731 39379994 40100083 40750142
       41200138 42350049 43649964
0.15   35029974 35919873 36179771 36049692 35159655 34269578
       33769500 33579418 33609189 32949169 32299256 31669398
       31179552 30419768 30289841 30329881 30799969 31279978
       34699985 35029974
SIGN   31829449 31189547 30989619 30449765 30339827 30359881
       30839965 31329976 34739981 35039960 35819860 36009780
       35769701 33909666 32289460 31829449
SIGN   39660008 40260083 40690121 41100122 41400079 42089985
       42319882 42299813 42109701 41579640 40889624 39949574
       39159567 37389616 37029672 37159723 37999688 38949692
       39309716 39449788 39549920 39660008
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42299124 40839178 39479243 38469329 35969490 35409480
       34929396 34769208 34289044 33928946 32838907 31809055
       31429229 31099537 30899646 30599789 31229990 32310006
       33730006 35720001 36739971 38089916 39139918 39720063
       40430173 41010181 42410125 44440024 44830028 45350103
       45780171 46190184 46730156 46970096 47309940 47229783
       46889691 46169673 45439608 45099513 45019469 45019307
       43889123 42299124
0.05   34458208 34578299 34838402 35058488 35398582 35728607
       36008592 36788465 36968371 36678302 36258296 36038244
       35958193 36208126 36408038 36437964 36537824 36297721
       36007703 35037785 34377888 34277999 34468166 34458208
0.15   39369388 38959461 38939607 39429898 39880025 40440137
       40640151 40970143 41360105 42040058 42729990 43049956
       43289868 43429788 43429671 43369569 43429416 43199266
       42779207 42199215 41329249 40509305 39969338 39369388
0.30   39989859 40079947 40380042 40670080 41150063 41630005
       42019917 42499755 42769660 42809577 42619454 42429406
       42079352 41649351 41389374 40739471 40149535 40029652
       39989859
SIGN   39939854 39979949 40440131 40740127 41120109 41400081
       42129924 42819705 42849580 42619453 42399403 42099353
       41599349 40699423 40129500 39729564 39739685 39939854
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    41150063 41630005 42019917 42769660 42809577 42619454
       42429406 42079352 41649351 41389374 40739471 40149535
       40029652 39989859 40079947 40380042 40670080 41150063
SLGT   34989986 35919873 36179771 36049692 35159655 34269578
       33769500 33579418 33609189 32949169 32299256 31529441
       31099512 30959616 30419768 30289841 30329881 30799969
       31279978 33929983 34309998 34989986
SLGT   41200138 42350049 43649964 44369956 45049976 45610009
       46659956 46729794 46329731 44409766 43429707 43369569
       43429416 43199266 42779207 42199215 41329249 39969338
       39369388 38959461 38949549 37259608 36999675 37149729
       38289699 39139728 39229779 39309863 39329903 39379994
       40200093 40390131 40600149 40790149 41200138
MRGL   36008592 36788465 36968371 36678302 36258296 36038244
       35958193 36208126 36408038 36537824 36297721 36007703
       35037785 34377888 34277999 34578299 35058488 35398582
       35728607 36008592
MRGL   46600173 47050105 47719811 47829707 47739620 47379529
       46609490 45069494 45019307 43889123 42299124 40839178
       39479243 38469329 36739440 36059416 34879172 34428990
       33888943 32838907 31809055 31429229 30749660 30369768
       30249827 30299879 30599951 30759972 31229990 32310006
       33930005 34500013 35720001 36739971 38069917 38949949
       39420046 39890090 40430173 41010181 41630164 41790150
       44440024 44830028 45780171 46190184 46600173
TSTM   49550870 48090899 47721074 46811275 46871378 47251544
       47881947 48531997 49712013 99999999 49479225 46559330
       44919111 43088974 41398989 39679145 37609305 37149329
       36669304 36329176 36189062 36188899 35638819 34758751
       33678772 31408942 30729069 30889334 30759558 30199785
       30179892 30649978 31100006 32500011 35150018 37239981
       38769997 39750113 40960221 42100183 43670122 44540100
       44920142 44700241 44850400 45120541 45770597 46170574
       46890418 49449828 99999999 36407491 34627695 33527893
       33518147 33948377 35438623 36308680 38168626 38968566
       40208521 40678142 40207614 38857323

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM LBF 25
WNW BBW 15 N BUB 25 NNW SUX 30 WNW SLB 20 WNW FOD 10 SE FOD 40 NNE
DSM 10 NE DSM 10 SSW DSM 35 E SDA 15 ENE FNB 20 SSE BIE 45 S HSI 50
SSW EAR 15 NE MCK 30 S LBF LBF.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW
LTS 50 NNE CSM 15 SE END 25 NNW CQB 40 SSE CQB 40 ENE DUA 25 ENE PRX
15 NW TXK 10 WSW LLQ 35 NE MLU 35 WSW MLU 30 NE LFK 25 WSW LFK 30
NNE CLL 10 N AUS 40 W AUS 60 NNW SAT 20 NNE JCT 45 E SJT 45 SE CDS
20 ESE CDS 40 NW LTS.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W
LBF 30 WSW ANW 20 WSW 9V9 35 E PIR 45 SE MBG 15 ENE MBG 45 WSW JMS
40 ESE JMS 50 SSW FAR 30 E HON 20 WSW FSD 20 SSW OTG 20 SE FRM 35 E
MCW 25 NE ALO 30 SSE ALO 15 N OTM 15 NE CDJ 35 SSW CDJ 10 NE OJC 10
SE TOP 35 N BVO 25 NE PNC 30 NNW PNC 45 W EMP 30 NE SLN 25 SSW CNK
30 NNE RSL 35 NNW RSL HLC 20 W MCK 20 ESE IML 10 NE IML 20 NNE IML
35 W LBF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
BNA 40 WSW LOZ 20 ESE LOZ 35 WNW TRI 25 NNW HSS 25 ENE HSS 35 WNW
HKY 35 NNE HKY 35 NW GSO 15 SW AVC 30 ESE RZZ 50 SE RZZ 20 NW OAJ 40
S FAY 15 WNW FLO 15 WNW AND 20 E CHA 45 NW CHA 45 SE BNA 45 ESE BNA.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW
BIS 25 NW BIS 45 WSW GFK 10 SSE GFK 25 S TVF 20 WSW BJI 40 WNW BRD
35 N RWF 10 NE MSP LSE 30 WSW DBQ 35 W BRL 45 S IRK 25 SE SZL 20 ENE
GMJ FYV 30 ENE LIT 20 W UOX 35 S UOX 40 NNW MEI 45 N MCB ESF 20 NW
CLL AUS 35 W AUS 55 NNW SAT 15 ENE JCT 15 N JCT 35 ESE SJT 25 WSW
ABI 35 SSE CDS 10 ENE CDS 55 WNW CSM 60 W AVK 50 ENE DDC 35 SSE HLC
35 W HLC 25 SW MCK 10 SW IML 35 NNW IML 40 SW MHN 30 SW MHN PIR 30 N
PIR 25 ESE Y22 25 NE Y22 50 WSW BIS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NE HVR 50 SE HVR
35 ENE GTF 20 ENE 3DU 15 ESE MSO 25 S 3TH 40 N EPH 20 WNW OMK 90 NNW
OMK ...CONT... 80 NE INL 40 ENE BRD 20 E EAU 20 W MSN 30 E MLI 25 SW
UIN 30 NE SGF SGF 30 NNE HRO 30 SSE UNO 20 E ARG 25 ENE DYR 40 E MKL
MSL 30 N TCL PIB 35 SSW MCB 15 SW POE UTS 10 SW AUS 50 NNW SAT 10 N
JCT 30 SE SJT 25 WNW ABI 50 N CDS 40 SSE DDC 45 S HLC 40 NE GLD 40
ESE SNY 40 W MHN 35 SE PHP 35 WNW PIR 60 N PHP 55 NE RAP 55 SSW 2WX
20 S 4BQ 35 NW 4BQ 20 SSE MLS 35 ESE GDV 75 NW HCO ...CONT... 70 E
ECG 30 S EWN 10 S CRE 30 ENE AGS 25 W AHN 55 SSE BNA 15 NNW BNA 30 W
SDF 55 ESE BMG 10 ESE MIE 20 S CAK 35 E CXY 85 ESE ACY.