Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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470
WUUS01 KWNS 171617
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1115 AM CDT FRI MAY 17 2024

VALID TIME 171630Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   29289389 30069358 32228970 32768688 32758267 32578198
       31738101 30868124 30908338 29468594
0.05   30058807 30708968 31498987 32058789 32308485 32258409
       32008251 31518289 30658592 30058807
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   44570487 46150584 47860519 49030414 49030194 48249964
       47009823 46199864 45569924 44800013 44070308 44570487
0.05   27469982 28029908 28419814 28879692 29129545 29249511
       29779408 32198967 32788683 32738261 32378148 31788064
       30578076 29948290 29158438
0.15   29319344 29439347 30329284 31259062 32088766 32238390
       31658100 30848127 30848210 30878361 29558665
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49229283 48029396 46599586 44599873 43310364 44180684
       44910742 46000716 47720657 49180492
0.05   26499935 27019811 27229685
0.05   29309400 29829399 32248970 32778704 32838494 32758264
       32298141 31728059 30598072 29978292 29008454
0.15   44550499 46190572 47820528 49090415 48999904 49039565
       47799574 45959829 44969946 44050304 44550499
0.15   29319349 30149301 31219047 32038773 32238390 32098281
       31638092 30788126 30778407 29848601 29788603
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   29339348 29409348 30159304 31339052 32058776 32308404
       31668098 30858121 30828356 30418489 29858603 29788605
SLGT   46310581 47920517 49020407 48990088 49039788 49049570
       47819587 45919823 44969946 44050304 44520493 45410544
       46310581
MRGL   49089305 47849407 46499585 44599871 43300366 44190686
       44910740 46000716 47700651 49500461
MRGL   27489975 28029908 28429814 28859695 29119545 29559452
       30439293 32248968 32798687 32748259 32288138 31708059
       99999999 30548080 30368126 29998295 29208429
TSTM   29700523 31430449 32350301 34359990 35629915 36319825
       37099627 37859377 40358910 41878696 43058560 44348455
       46688331 99999999 48108631 46948708 46228771 45238946
       44239246 43369696 42960160 42940379 43110562 43960804
       44501004 45641051 46111079 46701305 47471573 47961704
       49521870 99999999 44797630 42077679 40267746 38677695
       36197674 34917636 33877620 99999999 24528025 24838036
       25908067 26708095 27538159 27378228 27018296

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE
BPT 50 SE BPT 10 E LCH 10 NNW MCB 50 WSW SEM 35 SW MCN 35 SSE SAV 25
SE SSI 15 W VLD 30 W TLH 35 SW PFN 35 SW PFN.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE
MLS 25 ESE OLF 60 NNW ISN 55 NNE MOT 45 WNW HCO 15 N ROX 25 SE TVF
35 NNE ABR 55 NE PIR RAP 30 ENE GCC 4BQ 10 SSE MLS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE
INL 45 ENE BJI 25 S DTL 30 WNW HON 45 NW CDR 40 S SHR 25 WNW SHR 65
ENE BIL 35 S GGW 100 NNW ISN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW
LRD 30 SSE COT 30 W NIR VCT LBX 20 NE GLS 25 NE LCH 55 W MEI 30 NNE
SEM 40 NNW VDI 15 NW SAV 45 SE SAV ...CONT... 50 NE SGJ 25 ESE JAX
25 NNE CTY 60 SE AAF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 WSW MRF 35 SSE GDP
25 SSE HOB 25 ESE CDS 20 N CSM 20 W END 25 NNW BVO 50 NNW SGF 10 SW
BMI 30 N VPZ 15 NNW GRR HTL 55 ENE ANJ ...CONT... 120 ENE CMX 35 NE
MQT 25 SSW MQT 25 NNE AUW 20 N RST 20 SW FSD 55 W VTN 35 WNW CDR 30
NNW DGW WRL 50 W COD LVM 30 NE BZN 3DU 20 WSW 3TH 30 NE GEG 80 NNE
OMK ...CONT... 55 NNW ART 10 SE ELM 35 W CXY 15 SSE DCA 30 W ECG 40
ESE EWN 95 SSE EWN ...CONT... 50 ESE MTH 45 E MTH 25 WNW MIA 55 W
PBI 20 WSW AGR 15 E SRQ 35 SW SRQ.