Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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887
WUUS01 KWNS 222002
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2024

VALID TIME 222000Z - 231200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40498021 39958191 40028285 40818253 41578184 42587914
       42417884 41817861 41187888 40498021
0.02   29939853 29789967 29790033 30050080 30660115 31370117
       32210076 32489947 33779646 35349399 36519305 38178815
       37008742 36498747 35158832 34298928 31749258 30959424
       30479573 29939853
0.05   30559949 30710005 31150048 31760046 32109965 33269653
       35119374 35179290 34989226 34509186 33829194 33009275
       32559346 31339567 30799730 30559949
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   29580174 32230118 32969935 33679753 35449451 36669371
       37419302 39028799 40078574 40798402 41928266 99999999
       45257421 44137395 43287409 42117447 41157506 40007648
       37958211 36278443 34978772 34208887 31749266 30579566
       29769966 28180037
0.15   30130085 30570114 31290120 32210095 32439928 33749649
       35329402 36589284 37728956 38228797 39378348 38818283
       36408528 35268854 32559237 31009595 30089943 30130085
0.30   30879833 30549946 30730004 31140046 31780044 32439871
       33289657 35149370 35189289 34989227 34479187 33849202
       33329274 32739387 30879833
SIGN   31310077 31850072 32300036 32489931 33779649 35269396
       35819343 35919223 35759163 35319124 34739128 34039169
       33299274 32719391 31559681 30889838 30749948 30880046
       31310077
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   45227322 43547297 41987348 40537442 38097812 37008179
       35958402 35248565 34598744 33258922 31339137 30289560
       29789966 28120041 99999999 29490175 32230119 32400061
       33709756 35479441 37319316 37809189 39008792 40048578
       40798403 41928269
0.15   45007544 43907507 42117552 41177596 40477673 39847785
       38688098 36328442 35078764 31739263 30959430 30499570
       30039955 30100087 30560117 31240120 32240092 32569938
       33879623 35329392 36479305 37009165 38208797 39358525
       40508309 41278204 42508106
0.30   30559947 30710007 31150047 31810047 32109956 33209657
       35139370 35199294 35009229 34509188 33819194 33079268
       32549344 31349568 30809735 30559947
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    30809733 30549949 30720007 31130048 31790047 32029968
       33159670 35119374 35199291 34999228 34509186 33799196
       33069270 32569343 31339567 30809733
SLGT   44997547 43877507 42097553 41157593 40497675 39857784
       38698100 36188455 35498641 34928782 31759261 30949430
       30489572 30039960 30110085 30540118 31270123 32180098
       32459941 33849630 35279406 36599285 36959166 38208801
       39318536 40508310 41238210 42498107
MRGL   29540174 30960147 32220118 32779992 33629759 35449444
       36719371 37399310 39028794 40838402 41928266 99999999
       45227322 43557297 41997347 40497447 38087819 36958201
       35928406 34608731 33248925 31349136 30289560 29779967
       28160039
TSTM   49539582 47489266 46789005 46608809 45618663 44648720
       43618842 42919009 42159119 42609284 43869336 44359377
       45739507 46719660 46749761 46279873 45689969 45620114
       45420401 44750567 43540660 42710835 42420867 41681077
       41531128 41651515 42121656 42781710 43331690 43721757
       43561849 43681994 45462091 46342062 46741958 46881787
       46401622 46031549 47021402 47441405 48041489 49431824
       99999999 38960371 40350242 41250084 41219895 40499753
       39699722 39329883 39420083 38760135 38310138 38060129
       37580131 37110162 36620261 36610372 37270467 37910449
       38960371 99999999 29110257 29380255 30570230 31300203
       33220091 33770035 34489898 34689856 34969807 36019732
       37309663 37999615 38549389 39219212 39448964 40188604
       40678533 40978508 41518475 42298450 43008425 43868347
       45398197 99999999 45186647 44046842 42767120 42557208
       42037267 40987330 38687528 37337748 36147987 35848260
       35348417 34818569 33948740 32498899 30659107 29839400
       29569685 29419858 29349914 28359939 26229937 99999999
       26198298 27348177 27398110 27117959

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
TPL 15 E JCT 25 NW JCT 15 S SJT 30 N SJT 30 S ABI 25 NNE DAL 40 WSW
RUE 10 ESE RUE 20 N LIT 25 N PBF 15 NW LLQ 15 SSE ELD 25 ENE SHV 45
NNW UTS 25 SSE TPL.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W
MSS 50 E ART 25 ESE BGM 15 SW AVP 20 NNE CXY 10 NNW HGR 40 NE CRW 35
ENE CSV 45 SSE BNA 15 NW MSL 30 E IER 35 SE LFK 25 SW UTS 35 SSE JCT
50 N DRT 70 SW SJT 45 W SJT 30 E BGS 15 E ABI 10 SE DUA 20 ESE FSM
30 NE HRO 20 NE UNO 30 WNW EVV 50 WNW LUK 35 NNW CMH 20 SW CLE 55
WNW ERI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE
6R6 65 WSW SJT 20 E BGS 30 NNW ABI 55 W GYI 10 NNW FSM 15 SE UMN 20
NE SGF 35 SSE MTO 25 SW FDY 40 ESE DTW ...CONT... 50 N BTV RUT 30
SSW PSF 20 SW EWR 15 ESE CHO 40 NNE TRI TYS 20 ESE MSL 50 ESE GWO 20
S HEZ 30 SSW UTS 40 NW HDO 70 NW LRD.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW RRT 10 NE HIB
20 NNE IWD 25 W MQT 25 ESE ESC 45 NE MTW 25 SSE OSH 20 SSE LNR 30 SW
DBQ 20 W ALO 35 SE MKT 10 NE MKT 20 ESE AXN 20 SE FAR 40 WSW FAR 45
S JMS 35 ENE MBG 35 W MBG 25 WSW 2WX 30 NNW GCC 45 N CPR 20 ESE LND
30 S LND 30 NNE EVW 20 NW EVW 55 ESE OWY 25 WNW OWY 40 ENE REO 40
WSW BOI 70 W BOI 25 E BNO 50 W BNO 15 SE DLS 15 S YKM 40 S EPH 35
WNW PUW 35 WNW P69 10 SSE P69 10 NNE MSO 35 N MSO 35 WSW GPI 90 NE
OMK ...CONT... 20 S LIC 45 WSW IML 10 NW LBF 35 N EAR 45 WNW BIE 25
ENE CNK 30 N RSL 45 E GLD 45 SSE GLD 45 NW GCK 30 WNW GCK 40 SW GCK
15 ENE EHA 30 ENE CAO 35 WNW CAO 20 W TAD 25 S PUB 20 S LIC
...CONT... 65 SSW 6R6 50 SSW 6R6 35 N 6R6 45 SSE MAF 60 ESE LBB 45 S
CDS 20 SE LTS 10 WNW FSI 10 SSW CHK 35 NW CQB 50 NNE PNC 25 S EMP 20
WSW SZL 30 N COU 30 S SPI 35 NNE IND 25 SSW FWA FWA 45 NNE FWA JXN
25 NE LAN 25 WNW BAX 80 ENE APN ...CONT... 30 NE EPM 30 S BHB 30 NNW
BOS 20 NNW ORH BDL 15 SW BDR 25 NNE SBY 15 SW RIC GSO 15 ESE HSS 35
SSW TYS 30 WSW CHA 45 NW BHM 20 NW MEI 50 SW MCB 10 S BPT 50 N VCT
10 SW SAT HDO 10 WSW COT 70 W MFE ...CONT... 75 WSW FMY 35 SW AGR 25
SE AGR 45 NE PBI.