Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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737
WUUS01 KWNS 211302
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2024

VALID TIME 211300Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38238982 36749161 35039341 33639544 33709667 34289703
       35949620 37149580 38089569 38829626 39289646 39829699
       40919769 42229730 44269609 45239566 45809533 46269457
       46429216 46238892 45798685 44578529 44278529 43408529
       42388562 41048659 39468827 38238982
0.05   43308746 41738750 40138876 39288952 38659045 37519163
       36309307 35039461 34989527 35339558 36779492 37959501
       39409565 40259654 40969668 42239629 43719544 45089387
       45479324 45749232 45859113 45398916 44898836 44748817
       43878765 43308746
0.10   43758859 42778838 41808838 40878884 39768993 39119109
       38879274 39069415 39729521 40759596 41719579 42869491
       44189382 44939245 44969140 44919043 44698947 44268884
       43758859
0.15   41419500 42269484 43039369 43759219 43799076 43599026
       43158983 42648948 41658965 40929012 40139132 39969229
       40019339 40319431 40779490 41419500
SIGN   39109231 38909284 39129416 39799522 40819589 41669571
       42979472 44219376 44919238 44949128 44879024 44658944
       44158899 42868909 41558927 40678981 40119038 39109231
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   46397076 45886776 45426822 44716937 43617162 43457274
       43407409 43557495 43867535 44447519 45727450
0.05   45889395 46609083 46108746 45178626 43628602 42518596
       41058644 38168939 36799093 33329455 31289647 29369916
       28060014 29240085 29540129 30020059 31619986 35939718
       37849626 38629650 39609813 39749913 39939975 40320000
       40930000 43599730 45149519 45889395
0.15   44579498 45489317 45789057 45088885 43828804 41758754
       39748850 38309027 37149176 34419460 31279797 30029929
       30410026 32239923 33459832 35359687 36799593 38249575
       38899609 39829780 40229866 40629886 41449869 42789734
       44579498
0.30   39419567 40389667 41029695 41779693 43059552 44029277
       43779127 43249066 41949026 40649053 39599100 38119176
       36589275 36619474 37969486 39419567
0.45   40639561 41719566 42999374 42999307 42049269 40729280
       39589323 39639468 39949522 40639561
SIGN   40219760 40799792 41859746 43119548 43429471 44029274
       44109112 43979051 43048990 41518993 39179094 36739242
       34839429 32369693 31299794 30039928 30440023 32179928
       35359683 36829581 38229548 39069586 39619680 40219760
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42008250 40748437 37918753 36178991 33329458 31339644
       29379918 28070014 29220084 29540130 30010061 31589986
       33189841 35159698 36829596 38159569 38819599 39799789
       41139839 42059797 42949731 44539601 47189217 48268946
0.05   46627040 46306775 45686778 45226824 43467087 43127170
       43197394 43547532 43857537 44477518 45267474
0.15   41259707 43009623 44509445 45469278 46089113 46348934
       46358711 45468402 44438323 43548325 42858361 41098554
       39478730 37198921 34999224 32379637 32929782 36139482
       36909470 37969463 38979503 39759610 40269671 41259707
0.30   44938899 44768674 44418597 43828577 42958555 41338663
       40018864 38139176 38039321 39039390 39699470 40779592
       42019568 43199519 44299321 44579225 44769087 44938899
0.45   43189270 43299108 42648948 42198929 40908959 40239012
       39489146 39599319 41109417 41889416 42919358 43189270
SIGN   42479485 43569361 43739262 43869143 43708977 43598875
       43228770 42668749 41628741 40498864 39499059 38899190
       39059302 39379367 40379484 41719514 42479485
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    43039369 43759219 43799076 43599026 43158983 42648948
       42198929 40908959 40239012 39489146 39639468 39949522
       40639561 41719566 43039369
ENH    41779693 43059552 44939245 44938899 44768674 44418597
       42958555 41338663 40018864 38129175 36579277 36629472
       37969486 39419567 40379667 41029695 41779693
SLGT   32239923 35359687 36799593 38249575 38899609 40229866
       40629886 41449869 42789734 44579498 45479324 46089113
       46348934 46358711 45468402 44438323 43548325 42858361
       41608496 39468729 37128925 34969222 31279797 30029929
       30430026 32239923
MRGL   42008250 40748437 37918753 36178991 33319456 31289647
       29349917 28060014 29250087 29530130 30010061 31629987
       35939718 37849626 38629650 39609813 39749913 39939975
       40320000 40930000 43599730 44589595 45809533 46269457
       46349339 47189217 48608854
MRGL   46637039 46306775 45736773 45226824 43467087 43127170
       43197394 43547532 43867535 44447519 45247476
TSTM   42666860 41487300 41507596 40147779 38167836 35178194
       34598306 34288451 35018464 36658330 37318379 37558477
       37128585 35768687 34598896 33779152 33299439 31599541
       30559651 29149883 26679962 99999999 29310179 30080065
       31500026 32959924 34109975 35899931 37129707 38029703
       38529797 38179958 37440225 37520471 36430844 36690940
       38210907 39170944 39371038 40251175 42621260 43751182
       47651272 49431448 99999999 49330828 48290660 47010513
       46160514 45580729 45160819 44470729 44200368 43680237
       42450178 42370020 45759678 47209478 48509177
TSTM   28558339 29688248 30818093 30968053

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW
MCW 20 SE RST 25 ESE LSE 25 S VOK 20 ESE LNR 25 W JVL 10 W RFD 15
NNE PIA 35 NW SPI 35 SSW UIN 15 SE STJ 20 NW STJ 15 SW SDA 25 SW DNS
20 WSW MCW.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
OFK 20 WSW SPW 40 E MSP 30 E AUW 40 NW MBL 15 NE MBL GRR 20 ESE VPZ
15 NE DEC VIH 30 NE HRO GMJ 40 ENE CNU 25 N TOP BIE 15 NW LNK 30 ESE
OFK.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
ABI 25 S CQB BVO 25 ESE EMP 30 WSW TOP 30 SSW HSI 10 SE EAR 35 SE
BUB 10 SSE YKN RWF 40 E STC 35 SSW ASX 40 ESE IWD 25 ESE MQT 35 NW
APN 10 E OSC 20 SW BAX 10 SE FNT 45 NNE FWA HUF 20 ESE CGI 15 N LIT
35 WNW TPL 45 SE JCT 30 WSW JCT 30 ESE ABI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
MTC 40 WSW FDY 10 S EVV 30 WNW DYR 35 WSW TXK 50 N CLL HDO 55 NW LRD
10 SSE DRT 25 WNW DRT 50 NNE DRT 40 ENE SJT 25 NW CQB 35 S EMP 25 NW
EMP 25 W CNK 45 NE HLC 40 N HLC 30 ENE MCK 40 ESE LBF 30 W FSD 45 W
RWF AXN 25 WSW BRD 35 E BRD 25 N DLH 100 N CMX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 W
CAR 10 N HUL 25 S HUL 40 NE BGR 25 N PSM 10 WSW CON 20 WSW GFL 25 N
UCA 35 ESE ART 40 SSW MSS 20 N MSS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 SE PWM 25 NNE BDR
15 NW AVP 30 ESE AOO CHO 15 N SPA 20 WNW AND 40 E RMG 30 E CHA 50
WNW TRI 25 NE LOZ 35 SSW LEX 35 ENE BWG 30 SSW BNA 25 NNW TUP 15 NE
LLQ 25 WSW TXK 45 WNW LFK 10 WSW CLL 25 SE HDO 60 S LRD ...CONT...
50 W DRT 50 NNE DRT 15 ENE SJT 45 NE ABI 40 SE CDS 40 N CSM 30 N PNC
35 NE ICT 25 SW SLN 35 NE DDC 25 ENE SPD 25 NW TAD 25 SSW FMN 60 SW
CEZ 50 NNE 4BL 30 NNE CNY 25 SE PUC 40 SSE SLC 20 S PIH 20 NE IDA 65
WNW GTF 80 N GPI ...CONT... 85 NE HVR GGW 15 WSW GDV 40 ESE MLS 60
NNW SHR 45 SSE BIL 25 SW SHR 35 WNW RAP 45 SE RAP 45 NW MHN 20 SW
ANW 35 NNW VVV 25 SSE BJI 40 N ELO.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW PIE 15 W GNV 40
SE SSI 55 ESE SSI.