794
WUUS01 KWNS 211959
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT TUE MAY 21 2024

VALID TIME 212000Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38238982 36749161 35039341 33639544 33709667 34069803
       34389855 34829850 35329787 36419659 37059608 38089582
       38999552 39879554 40689566 41579563 42829561 44229572
       45239566 45809533 46269457 46529122 46458891 45798685
       44578529 44278529 43408529 42388562 41048659 39468827
       38238982
0.05   43308746 41738750 40138876 39288952 38659045 37519163
       36309307 35039461 34989527 35339558 36779492 37959501
       39209521 40379541 41269543 42869546 43719544 45089387
       46209303 46349183 46229057 45758930 44898836 44748817
       43878765 43308746
0.10   43758859 42778838 41808838 40878884 39768993 39119109
       38879274 39069415 39679508 40579523 42189527 42869491
       44189382 44939245 44969140 44919043 44698947 44268884
       43758859
0.15   41419500 42199497 43059449 44439200 44399086 43969027
       43158983 42648948 41658965 40929012 40139132 39969229
       40019339 40319431 40779490 41419500
SIGN   39109231 38909284 39129416 39749512 40609522 42269522
       42979472 44219376 44919238 44949128 44879024 44658944
       44158899 42868909 41558927 40678981 40119038 39109231
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   46397076 45886776 45426822 44716937 43617162 43457274
       43407409 43557495 43867535 44447519 45727450
0.05   37859623 40259609 41819604 43819598 44979573 45759537
       46299453 46489338 47029209 46168714 45178626 43628602
       42518596 41058644 38168939 36799093 33329455 31289647
       29369916 28060014 29240085 29540129 30020059 31619986
       33519890 34229911 34939910 35369878 36199710 37859623
0.15   44579498 45489317 45789057 45088885 43828804 41758754
       39748850 38309027 37149176 34419460 31279797 30029929
       30410026 32239923 33399850 34379819 34749797 35259714
       36629607 38059570 38419561 38909547 39969556 40599564
       42959565 43769569 44579498
0.30   39099512 40479549 41149545 42789549 43189529 44569243
       44629119 43849034 41949026 40649053 39599100 38119176
       36589275 36619474 37969486 39099512
0.45   40549523 41889525 42999374 42999307 42419224 41699161
       41139150 40649155 40069174 39509209 39209260 39249401
       39619493 39919514 40549523
SIGN   40569565 41709567 42969562 43119548 43429471 44639238
       44729117 43979051 43048990 41518993 39179094 36739242
       34839429 32369693 31299794 30039928 30440023 32179928
       33319846 34239824 34709795 35229719 36709590 36829581
       38229548 39039539 40019548 40569565
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42008250 40748437 37918753 36178991 33329458 31339644
       29379918 28070014 29220084 29540130 30010061 31589986
       33099873 33979852 34659821 35439715 36759603 38159569
       38919550 39869555 40699569 42219562 43969570 44889551
       46309452 46899333 48238947
0.05   46627040 46306775 45686778 45226824 43467087 43127170
       43197394 43547532 43857537 44477518 45267474
0.15   41969549 43369563 44509445 46269297 46529132 46458904
       46358711 45468402 44438323 43548325 42858361 41098554
       39478730 37198921 34999224 31769756 32539801 36139482
       36909470 37969463 38979503 39629524 40709541 41969549
0.30   45158941 44768674 44418597 43828577 42958555 41338663
       40018864 38139176 38039321 39039390 39699470 40579523
       42239522 42909489 44319356 44949232 45219080 45158941
0.45   44429198 44379085 43889020 42198929 40908959 40239012
       39489146 39599319 41109417 41889416 43049362 44429198
SIGN   42479485 43819392 44589246 44639095 44498989 43908876
       43228770 42668749 41628741 40498864 39499059 38899190
       39059302 39379367 40379484 41719514 42479485
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MDT    43069451 44439200 44399086 43969027 42648948 42198929
       40908959 40239012 39489146 39189251 39209399 39609493
       40719513 41839521 43069451
ENH    39259506 40569523 41779529 42549524 43149514 44269381
       44939245 45219080 45158941 44768674 44418597 42958555
       41338663 40018864 38149175 36589275 36619474 37969486
       39259506
SLGT   33399850 34379819 34749797 35259714 36629607 38119569
       38899547 40019556 40649566 42219560 43529587 44579498
       46259297 46399221 46529132 46478892 46358711 45468402
       44438323 43548325 42858361 39478730 37198921 34999224
       32379637 31769728 30029929 30410026 33399850
MRGL   46627040 46306775 45686778 45226824 43467087 43127170
       43197394 43547532 43857537 44477518 45277474
MRGL   42008250 40748437 37918753 36178991 33379450 31289647
       29369916 28060014 29220084 29540130 30010061 33519890
       34229911 34939910 35369878 36199710 37859625 40759608
       43819598 45209567 45809533 46269457 46879334 47589132
       48268946
TSTM   42666860 41487300 41507596 40147779 38167836 35178194
       34598306 34288451 35018464 36658330 37318379 37248435
       37098478 36708549 35978606 35148669 34678727 34388776
       33468915 33039025 32859147 32719254 32289387 31799516
       31599541 30559651 29149883 26679962 99999999 29440195
       31500073 33099982 34259989 34680005 35280023 36129991
       36399944 36699849 37019766 37359735 37689728 38049768
       37839877 37469989 37060060 37030157 37330291 37520471
       36430844 36690940 38210907 39170944 39371038 40251175
       42621260 43751182 47651272 49431448 99999999 49330828
       48290660 47010513 46160514 45580729 45160819 44470729
       44200368 43680237 42450178 42370020 45759678 47209478
       48789107 99999999 28558339 29688248 30818093 30968053

&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE
SPW 40 SW EAU 40 NNE LSE VOK 25 W JVL 10 W RFD 15 NNE PIA 35 NW SPI
35 SSW UIN 30 NNW COU 35 ENE MKC 10 S STJ 15 E SDA 15 SE DNS 35 ESE
SPW.

THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SW
FLV 15 SE SDA 15 SSE DNS SLB SPW MKT 40 E MSP 40 NE EAU 20 NE AUW 40
NW MBL 15 NE MBL GRR 20 ESE VPZ 15 NE DEC VIH 30 NNW FLP GMJ 40 ENE
CNU 10 SW FLV.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S
SPS 25 SSE FSI 25 S CHK 30 ESE OKC 10 SSW BVO 30 ESE EMP 15 SSE TOP
FNB 15 WSW SDA 20 NW DNS 15 WSW OTG RWF 55 SW DLH 30 S DLH 20 W ASX
55 SSW CMX 25 ESE MQT 35 NW APN 10 E OSC 20 SW BAX 10 SE FNT HUF 20
E CGI 20 N LIT 25 N CRS 10 NNW ACT 45 SE JCT 30 WSW JCT 40 S SPS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 W
CAR 15 N HUL 30 S HUL 40 NE BGR 25 N PSM 10 WSW CON 20 WSW GFL 25 N
UCA 35 ESE ART 35 SSW MSS 25 NNE MSS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE
MTC 40 WSW FDY 10 S EVV 30 WNW DYR 30 W TXK 50 N CLL HDO 55 NW LRD
10 SSE DRT 25 WNW DRT 50 NNE DRT 40 SW SPS 30 SSE LTS 20 NNE LTS 25
E CSM 35 NNW CQB 35 S EMP 35 W SDA 25 WNW OTG 35 E VVV AXN 25 WSW
BRD 45 SW HIB 25 N BFW 55 NE GNA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 SE PWM 25 NNE BDR
15 NW AVP 30 ESE AOO CHO 15 N SPA 20 WNW AND 40 E RMG 30 E CHA 50
WNW TRI 25 NE LOZ 20 NW LOZ 40 W LOZ 55 ESE BWG 35 ESE BNA 35 N HSV
20 ESE MSL 25 SSW MSL 40 WSW CBM 35 SSW GWO 40 NE MLU 30 WNW MLU 10
SSW SHV 40 SSE TYR 45 WNW LFK 10 WSW CLL 25 SE HDO 60 S LRD
...CONT... 45 SSE 6R6 15 NW SJT 45 N ABI 25 ESE CDS 20 NE CDS 60 W
CSM 65 NW CSM 50 WSW AVK 10 ESE AVK 35 WNW PNC 20 SSE ICT 10 ENE ICT
10 E HUT 40 NNW P28 20 SSE DDC 20 E LBL 20 E EHA 15 WNW SPD 25 NW
TAD 25 SSW FMN 60 SW CEZ 50 NNE 4BL 30 NNE CNY 25 SE PUC 40 SSE SLC
20 S PIH 20 NE IDA 65 WNW GTF 80 N GPI ...CONT... 85 NE HVR GGW 15
WSW GDV 40 ESE MLS 60 NNW SHR 45 SSE BIL 25 SW SHR 35 WNW RAP 45 SE
RAP 45 NW MHN 20 SW ANW 35 NNW VVV 25 SSE BJI 70 NNE ELO ...CONT...
60 NW PIE 15 W GNV 40 SE SSI 55 ESE SSI.