Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
190 FNUS22 KWNS 252157 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Valid 261200Z - 271200Z No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous discussion below for more information. ..Thornton.. 05/25/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024/ ...Synopsis... Elevated fire weather conditions appear probable across parts of the southern High Plains Sunday afternoon. Residual west/northwesterly mid-level flow in the wake of a departing synoptic low will persist across the southern Rockies through Sunday evening. This will promote weak lee troughing across southern TX while surface high pressure builds across the Intermountain West. Consequently, northwesterly pressure gradient winds are forecast to increase to around 15 mph across much of eastern and southern NM into adjacent portions of western TX. Very dry conditions will persist through the weekend with widespread RH minimums in the single digits to low teens Sunday afternoon. Widespread elevated fire weather conditions appear probable with localized areas of critical conditions possible. Latest ensemble and deterministic solutions hint that critical conditions may be confined to the lee of terrain features where winds may reach 20-25 mph. However, weakening mid-level winds through the day should limit the potential for more widespread critical conditions. Regardless, most fine fuels are already receptive based on recent fuel analyses, and very dry and windy conditions on Saturday will promote additional fuel drying for Sunday that will support the fire weather threat. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$