Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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956
FNUS22 KWNS 221827
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0126 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHERN/CENTRAL NEW MEXICO AND
PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...

Based on the latest high-resolution guidance consensus, the Critical
area was expanded westward into the central NM Mountains -- where
confidence in the overlap of critical winds/RH has increased.
Additionally, the Elevated highlights were expanded northward along
the I-25 corridor in southern CO, where locally critical
meteorological conditions are possible amid modestly receptive
fuels. Elsewhere, the previous forecast (see below) remains on
track.

..Weinman.. 05/22/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0216 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024/

...Synopsis...
Increasing deep westerly flow within the base of a large-scale
trough, along with a deepening lee surface cyclone over the High
Plains, will result in critical surface wind speeds developing
across portions of southern and eastern NM, and the Upper
Trans-Pecos region of TX Thursday afternoon. This, combined with
increasingly receptive fuels and widespread single-digit RH, has led
to the introduction of a Critical area.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$