313
FXUS64 KEWX 191120
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
620 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 210 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

The upper level flow this morning is zonal to slightly ridging and
this will continue through the short term period. The low level
flow is from the southeast. This is bringing warmer, moister air to
our CWA. Temperatures and dewpoints are five to ten degrees higher
than 24 hours ago. Patchy fog is spreading in from the coast, but it
doesn`t look like it will make much more progress inland. Morning
clouds over the Coastal Plains and I-35 Corridor will give way to
mostly sunny skies and very warm temperatures. Highs will be similar
to yesterday mostly in the 90s and approaching 105 along the Rio
Grande. We don`t see any significant change in the pattern for
tonight and Monday. The forecast is a bit of rinse and repeat.
Clouds will develop overnight over the Coastal Plains and I-35
Corridor and then give way to mostly sunny skies in the afternoon.
Both low and high temperatures will be about the same as the
previous day`s. Feels like the start of summer.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Saturday)
Issued at 210 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

The upper level ridge axis slides east Tuesday into Tuesday night.
Despite this, 500/700mb heights and temperatures remain anomalously
high Tuesday afternoon, and high temperatures Tuesday will remain
well above normal. By Wednesday the upper level ridge axis will
stretch from the southeast U.S. into the southwest Gulf of Mexico,
while a shortwave trough slides through southern California and
Arizona and eventually dampens east across Texas Thursday. This will
open the door for isolated to widely scattered showers and storms in
the afternoons and evenings Wednesday through Friday along the Rio
Grande and across the southern Edwards Plateau, Hill Country, and
central Texas. Rain chances in this region are currently only in the
10-30% range. Otherwise, continued above normal temperatures with
periods of hazy conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 AM CDT Sun May 19 2024

Ceilings in the Austin and San Antonio areas are right around the
MVFR/IFR boundary. They may bounce up and down for the next few hours
and then should settle at MVFR height. VFR conditions will return by
around noon. MVFR ceilings will develop again overnight
Sunday/Monday.

DRT will be VFR through the entire period. Southeasterly winds will
increase to around 15 kts with gusts to 25 kts by late morning and
continue until the early evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              91  71  92  74 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  91  69  91  74 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     93  70  94  74 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            90  69  89  72 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport          105  77 105  80 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        89  69  89  73 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             96  71  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        92  69  92  74 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   90  71  91  74 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       93  72  94  75 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           94  73  95  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...05
Long-Term...76
Aviation...05