Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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Spot Forecast for Pineknot I12 Backbone East...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
450 AM EDT Fri May 31 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Humidity values will gradually climb through the weekend.
Minimum RH values will then settle near the 50 percent level through
much of next week.

Winds will be generally light through the period. Wind directions
will begin the period out of the east today, becoming southeast to
south over the weekend.

Shower and thunderstorm chances will increase ahead of a front Saturday
evening through Sunday. More diurnal thunderstorm activity is expected
next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Dewpoint............55.
Wind (20 ft)........East 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (61600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................13 early in the morning increasing to 77 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......12 increasing to 25.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  26  26  25  22  28  29  27  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............70  74  78  80  82  83  84  85  85
Dewpoint........56  56  55  54  54  54  54  54  54
RH..............60  53  45  41  39  37  35  35  35
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 3.2 4.2 4.7 5.8 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   12  13  12  9   8   9   10  10
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............13  45  62  63  63  58  63  72  77
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  34  45  45  45  46  50  58  62
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  GD
Ceiling (kft)...12  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Dewpoint............54.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (46500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1000 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................55 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
                    the night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......25 decreasing to 12.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........24     31     42     52     60     61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............84     81     75     71     70     68
Dewpoint........53     55     56     55     56     55
RH..............35     41     52     56     61     64
20 ft wind......E 7    E 6    E 6    E 7    SE 7   SE 7
20 ft wind gust.12     9      10     12     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....5000   200    200    200    200    200
Transport wind..E 9    E 6    E 7    E 7    SE 8   SE 8
LVORI...........1      2      2      3      3      3
ADI.............55     3      4      5      5      5
Haines index....4      4      4      4      3      3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..47     1      1      1      2      2
Ventrate Cat....FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
Ceiling (kft)...25     25     25     20     20     15

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Dewpoint............58.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 21
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (67000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 early in the morning increasing to 94 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......12 increasing to 20 early in the afternoon,
                    then decreasing to 15 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........59     52     55     59     62     66
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............66     67     74     79     81     83
Dewpoint........56     58     59     59     59     59
RH..............68     75     61     52     47     43
20 ft wind......SE 7   SE 7   SE 9   SE 9   SE 8   SE 8
20 ft wind gust.13     13     15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    300    2800   3900   4700   5000
Transport wind..SE 7   SE 8   SE 17  SE 20  SE 15  SE 16
LVORI...........3      3      1      1      1      1
ADI.............5      8      60     94     78     74
Haines index....3      3      3      3      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      2      50     65     63     66
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   GOOD   GOOD
Ceiling (kft)...12     12     12     12     20     15

$$
Forecaster...Carroll
Requested by...Mike Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415366.0/FFC
.DELDT 05/31/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.thompson@tnc.org