Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FNUS75 KFGZ 270306
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for ROCKY FIRE INCIDENT...IMT TEAM 3
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
806 PM MST Sun May 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 MST on May 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Hot and dry conditions are expected for the next several
days with daytime high temperatures well into the 90s. Minimum RH values
will be 5-10 percent each day. Light overnight winds will become southwest
10 to 15 mph each afternoon. Poor overnight recoveries with RH values
remaining between 20-40 percent.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....56 to 58.
Max humidity........30 to 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots.

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....93 to 97.
Min humidity........5 to 10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds around 5 mph in the morning shifting
                    to the southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1021.
Mixing height.......10400 ft AGL in the morning and early afternoon
                    increasing to 11300 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 0 knots shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 10 knots in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....62 to 65.
Max humidity........20 to 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph in the early evening
                    shifting to the northeast around 5 mph overnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the east
                    late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....95 to 98.
Min humidity........5 to 10 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds around 5 mph in the morning shifting
                    to the southwest 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......930.
Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 0 knots shifting to the west 5
                    to 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MEOLA
Requested by...JEANNIE DUNCAN
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415122.0/FGZ
.DELDT 05/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL JYDUNCAN@BLM.GOV