161
FNUS75 KFGZ 230128
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Wildcat Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
628 PM MST Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MST on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Warm and dry weather will continue through the end of the week.
Winds will continue to decrease through the evening/overnight
hours tonight. Look for southwest winds to increase around 11 AM MST tomorrow,
gusting near 20 mph. Winds will once again become lighter overnight tomorrow.
Similar conditions are expected on Friday, with breezy afternoon winds. Minimum RH
values will range between 10-15% each afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55 degrees.
Max humidity........34-37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph, becoming light and
                    variable after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....81-85.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 10-15 mph in the afternoon. Wind gusts near
                    20 mph throughout the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......928.
Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots shifting to the southwest
                    around 15 knots in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55 degrees.
Max humidity........45-50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph, becoming light
                    and variable after midnight.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......1.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 knots shifting to the south
                    overnight, then shifting to the east after 3
                    am.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming southwest 10-15 mph in
                    the afternoon. Wind gusts near 20 mph throughout the afternoon.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......2305.
Mixing height.......9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 knots increasing to south 15
                    to 20 knots in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then shifting to the southwest
                    around 25 knots late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...KONIECZNY
Requested by...Carrie Dennett
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414962.0/FGZ
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL carrie_dennett@firenet.gov