Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE
362 FLUS43 KGID 201647 AAA HWOGID Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED National Weather Service Hastings NE 1147 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 211700- Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance- Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York- Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin- Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer- 1147 AM CDT Mon May 20 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and portions of north central Kansas. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Late this afternoon, prior to 7 PM, there is a slight chance that a few spotty thunderstorms could develop here or there. However, severe weather would be unlikely through this time. This evening, starting between 7 and 10 PM and then lasting well into the late night hours, thunderstorm chances will be on the increase, with the greatest likelihood and coverage of storms focused within Nebraska counties along and north of Highway 6, and lower chances near and especially south of the Kansas border. Some of these storms will develop directly over our area, while others roll in from the west, either in the form of intense, individual storms or perhaps as a larger-scale line or complex. Some storms this evening and overnight will likely be severe, and most of the area is under at least a Slight Risk for severe storms, with several Nebraska counties west of Highway 281 assigned a more concerning Enhanced Risk. The primary threats with any severe storms will be damaging winds up to around 70 MPH, and large hail ranging from quarter to golf ball size, although a low chance also exists for tornado development. In addition, Nebraska counties mainly along and north of Highway 6 will likely see widespread rainfall between 1 and 3 inches overnight, with the highest amounts focusing where more than one round of storms might occur. As a result, some instances of short-term flooding and even flash flooding cannot be ruled out. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. On Tuesday, between sunrise and roughly 1 or 2 PM, fairly high thunderstorm chances remain in the forecast, again favoring Nebraska counties more than Kansas. There is at least a Marginal Risk that a few storms could be severe, especially within counties along and east of Highway 281, with the main hazards being hail up to around the size of ping pong balls, and damaging winds up to around 60 MPH...in addition to the continued chance for more heavy rain and localized flooding. After 1 or 2 PM, any risk for severe storms should depart east out of our area. Between Wednesday night and Sunday, there are various, intermittent chances for thunderstorms in the forecast. Severe storms appear unlikely with any activity Wednesday night through Thursday afternoon, but beyond that it is still too early to confidently assess severe potential. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report any instances of severe weather or potential flooding this evening and overnight. && More information may be obtained at the following web page: https://www.weather.gov/hastings $$ Pfannkuch