943
FXUS64 KHUN 301855
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
155 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 155 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024

Quiet/tranquil wx conditions prevail across the central TN Valley
this Thu afternoon, as high pressure at the sfc remains layered
over much of the eastern CONUS and an upper ridge axis out of the
Plains states moves eastward into the region. Current temps are
mainly in the mid/upper 70s and these temps will likely climb a
few more degrees before the onset of the evening hrs. Other than
perhaps some high clouds traversing SE into parts of the region
tonight, quiet/seasonably mild conditions will continue into early
Fri, with lows falling predom into the mid 50s/near 60F.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Friday through Sunday)
Issued at 155 PM CDT Thu May 30 2024

Dry wx conditions will linger into Fri, as both the sfc high/upper
ridge begin to move east of the mid TN Valley. Cloud cover will
also increase Fri afternoon, as veering winds usher moisture back
into the region. With the return flow pattern, afternoon temps Fri
will trend a few degrees warmer compared to today, with highs more
in the lower/mid 80s. Isolated showers/tstms will then gradually
spread back into NW AL Fri night, as an upper shrtwv out of the
southern Plains begins to lift to the NE. Medium to high chances
for showers/tstms (50-70%) will then prevail for the upcoming
weekend period, as multiple embedded shortwaves aloft traverse
eastward over much of the region. SBCAPE values around 1500-2000
J/kg coupled with Effective Shear near 20-30kt may allow for a
few stronger storms, capable of brief heavy rainfall/gusty winds,
especially west of I-65 Sat afternoon. Given the increase in
cloud cover/rainfall, afternoon highs both Sat/Sun look to climb
mainly into the lower/mid 80s, while lows into early Sun trend
predom in the lower/mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 202 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

An upper level trough moves into the area early next week,
bringing continues shower/thunderstorm chances to the Tennessee
Valley through Wednesday. During this time, high temperatures are
forecast to be in the 80s with low temperatures in the 60s. No
severe weather is currently forecast. However, we will be
monitoring these storms as we move into the end of this week!

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

With high pressure remaining layered across much of the eastern
CONUS, VFR conds are generally expected thru the TAF period.
Light/var winds will also become SE near 7-8kt Fri morning.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...09
SHORT TERM....09
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...09