659
FXUS64 KHUN 301635
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1135 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

...New AVIATION...

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of Today)
Issued at 935 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

Current temps have rebounded into the upper 60s/lower 70s over much
of the TN Valley this Thu morning, from their earlier lows in the
50s/lower 60s. High pressure layered across much of the eastern
CONUS will help to maintain quiet/near seasonal countdowns thru
the afternoon hrs, as highs climb mainly into the lower 80s/near
80F, under mostly sunny skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Sunday)
Issued at 202 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

Upper level ridging and aforementioned sfc high pressure will
continue to keep dry weather in place through the end of the work
week. Low to medium rain chances (20-40%) return overnight Friday
into Saturday as an upper level shortwave moves into the
Tennessee Valley from the west ahead of a more pronounced trough.
These shower/thunderstorm chances are forecast to increase in
chance and coverage throughout the afternoon into the overnight
hours (50-60%). During any storm, low shear and sufficient CAPE
will support gusty winds. Moderate to heavy rainfall is also
possible at times along with medium chances of lightning. The LREF
displays PWATs around 1.5", which is around the 75th percentile
per sounding climatology at BMX. 24 hour rainfall totals between
Saturday and Sunday morning will most likely amount to around
0.25-0.5", but could be as high as around 1-2". Additional
rainfall is forecast into next week.

Friday and through the weekend, high temperatures are forecast to
reach the upper 70s/mid 80s with overnight lows in the 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 202 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

An upper level trough moves into the area early next week,
bringing continues shower/thunderstorm chances to the Tennessee
Valley through Wednesday. During this time, high temperatures are
forecast to be in the 80s with low temperatures in the 60s. No
severe weather is currently forecast. However, we will be
monitoring these storms as we move into the end of this week!

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1135 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

With high pressure remaining layered across much of the eastern
CONUS, VFR conds are generally expected thru the TAF period.
Light/var winds will also become SE near 7-8kt Fri morning.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...09
SHORT TERM....HC
LONG TERM....HC
AVIATION...09