Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
948
FNUS52 KILM 230744
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
344 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will linger offshore into next week. Rain chances
increase late in the week as a cold front moves into the region.
Rain chances will remain elevated into next week with the front
stalled in the area.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-232345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
344 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 40
Precip Type None Showers Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 89 67 89
Min/Max RH (%) 44 98 54
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 7 G17 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.15
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 1900 74/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72000 57000
ADI Early 41 Gen Good 39 Fair 35 Fair
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 8 Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Fog 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-232345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
344 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 89 68 89
Min/Max RH (%) 42 98 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.23 0.07
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 7 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 73/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 5300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81900 53000
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 57 Gen Good 33 Fair
ADI Late 82 Good 7 Poor 51 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
50 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
90 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-232345-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
344 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 89 68 88
Min/Max RH (%) 44 98 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 G17 Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.13
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57600 69600
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 47 Gen Good 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 62 Good 6 Very Poor 60 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 2
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-232345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
344 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 2 3
Max/Min Temp 89 67 89
Min/Max RH (%) 43 99 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var W 4
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.08
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 7 PM 8 AM
Precip End 6 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 74/0900 2000 71/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 W 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 76800 68400
ADI Early 56 Gen Good 46 Gen Good 40 Fair
ADI Late 79 Good 6 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 3 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 5 Rain 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH
88 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 42 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...III