Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
624
FNUS52 KILM 211858
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will shift offshore mid week bringing warmer
temperatures and moister conditions later in the week.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-221100-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
258 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 59 87 64 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 49 100 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/0900 2000 71/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6100
Transport Wind (mph) S 8 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 45600 85400
ADI Early 30 Fair 18 Gen Poor 33 Fair 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 72 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 9 8 8
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 2 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 2 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-221100-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 59 87 64 90
Max/Min RH (%) 100 44 100 48
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 69/0900 2000 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6000 6200
Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48000 93000
ADI Early 34 Fair 22 Fair 55 Gen Good 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 7
Max LVORI Late 9 1 8 1
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 1 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-221100-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
258 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 1
Min/Max Temp 59 86 63 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 47 100 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 71/1000 2000 73/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 5 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5900 6200
Transport Wind (mph) S 7 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41300 74400
ADI Early 31 Fair 18 Gen Poor 35 Fair 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 44 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 9 6 7
Max LVORI Late 9 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 1 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-221100-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
258 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None None
LAL 1 1 1 2
Min/Max Temp 59 87 63 89
Max/Min RH (%) 100 43 99 47
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 73/1000 2000 72/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 5 5 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 6500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 7 SW 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43400 91000
ADI Early 36 Fair 26 Fair 51 Gen Good 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 4 7
Max LVORI Late 9 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 7 1 Fog 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Fog 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$