Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
501
FNUS52 KILM 030658
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
258 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will continue to push further offshore this week.
Afternoon shower and storm chances increase through the week as
temperatures and humidity increase.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-032300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
258 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 86 66 88
Min/Max RH (%) 51 97 50
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 11 AM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 57000
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
81 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-032300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
258 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 87 66 89
Min/Max RH (%) 51 96 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 4
Precip Amount 0.02 0.02 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 2000 72/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 6100
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 54900
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 46 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 42 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 39 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-032300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
258 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 3 2 3
Max/Min Temp 86 66 88
Min/Max RH (%) 51 96 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 74/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51300 55000
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 49 Gen Good 40 Fair
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 52 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 47 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 39 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 43 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-032300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
258 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024
Today Tonight Tue
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 87 66 88
Min/Max RH (%) 50 96 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.03 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing 2 PM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 75/0900 2000 75/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5800
Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56000 52200
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 37 Fair 45 Gen Good
ADI Late 63 Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 41 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21