Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
070 FNUS72 KILM 211028 FWSILM Spot Forecast for Carolina Beach State Park Rx...North Carolina State Parks National Weather Service Wilmington NC 628 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on May 21. If conditions become unrepresentative...or if you have questions or concerns about this forecast...contact the National Weather Service in Wilmington at 910-762-1374. .DISCUSSION... High pressure will prevail bringing dry weather to the area. The sea breeze will increase winds a bit this afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is High. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........66 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon. Max mixing hgt......1900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East around 15 mph. Max vent rate.......Poor (28694 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........3. Max ADI.............37. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........31 9 7 13 10 10 9 8 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............69 71 73 74 75 74 74 74 RH..............77 71 69 67 66 68 69 70 20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT wind gust.12 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 Transp wind dir.NE NE E E E E E E Transp wind spd.14 14 15 15 14 14 14 15 Stability.......B B B B B B B B LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 ADI.............29 34 37 35 33 33 34 37 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate mph-ft/1K.22 26 29 28 25 26 26 29 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR Sfc pres (in)...001 004 004 004 003 003 003 001 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Patchy fog overnight. Min temperature.....Around 61. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening becoming light. Min mixing hgt......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 5 to 15 mph. Min vent rate.......Poor (2292 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........9. Min ADI.............2. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........10 12 13 14 14 15 16 18 20 26 32 38 Weather cov..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG Tstm cov........ Temp............73 71 68 67 66 64 64 64 63 63 63 63 RH..............73 78 86 91 95 98 99 100 100 100 100 100 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E NE N 20 FT wind spd..8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 20 FT wind gust.12 10 8 7 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 Transp wind dir.E E E E E SE SE E E E E NE Transp wind spd.14 12 10 9 9 9 9 7 6 6 6 5 Stability.......B E F F F F F F F F F F LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 ADI.............34 8 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 Haines index....4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 Vrate mph-ft/1K.26 23 11 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR Sfc pres (in)...001 001 002 002 002 004 004 004 004 004 004 005 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 82. Min humidity........61 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Max mixing hgt......1600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 10 to 15 mph late in the afternoon. Max vent rate.......Poor (14304 mph-ft). Max LVORI...........9. Max ADI.............19. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........43 45 41 33 23 12 Weather cov.....PATCHY PATCHY Weather type....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Temp............62 66 75 80 81 80 RH..............100 95 73 63 61 64 20 ft wind......N 1 N 1 NE 2 E 3 SE 5 SE 6 20 ft wind gust.2 3 3 5 8 10 Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 1300 1500 1200 1200 Transport wind..N 6 N 7 NE 7 NE 8 SE 9 S 12 Stability.......F A A A A B LVORI...........9 6 3 2 2 2 ADI.............3 7 11 15 14 17 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate mph-ft/1K.3 5 8 12 11 13 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR Sfc pres (in)...30.05 30.10 30.10 30.11 30.07 30.07 $$ Forecaster...Bright Requested by...Jesse Anderson Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2414803.0/ILM .DELDT 05/21/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Jesse.Anderson@ncparks.gov