Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY
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539 FXUS63 KJKL 242015 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY 415 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Showers and thunderstorms are expected from time to time through the middle of next week, especially during the afternoon and early evening hours. - There is a potential for severe thunderstorms on Sunday and Sunday night, with damaging winds and large hail being the primary threats. && .SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night) Issued at 414 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2024 A very quiet day continues as of late afternoon, with very dry air and light winds aloft as weak mid-upper level ridging passes over from west to east. A weak trough aloft is approaching behind the ridge, and a few showers and thunderstorms have popped up to our west and southwest. Can`t rule out something developing here tonight as the ridging departs and the dying trough moves through, but the timing is not favorable. On Saturday and Saturday evening, a weakening cold front will approach from the northwest and could help a few showers/thunderstorms develop. However, there will once again not be much in the way of upper level support, and the POP looks limited. .LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday) Issued at 414 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2024 An updated long term discussion will be sent shortly. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon) ISSUED AT 239 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2024 Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the period. The only exceptions would be localized IFR or worse conditions in valley fog overnight and early Saturday (which is not forecast to affect TAF sites) and a small potential for localized sub-VFR conditions in convective precip at times. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...HAL LONG TERM...JMW AVIATION...HAL