Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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539
FXUS63 KJKL 242015
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
415 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms are expected from time to time through
  the middle of next week, especially during the afternoon and
  early evening hours.

- There is a potential for severe thunderstorms on Sunday and
  Sunday night, with damaging winds and large hail being the
  primary threats.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 414 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2024

A very quiet day continues as of late afternoon, with very dry air
and light winds aloft as weak mid-upper level ridging passes over
from west to east. A weak trough aloft is approaching behind the
ridge, and a few showers and thunderstorms have popped up to our
west and southwest. Can`t rule out something developing here
tonight as the ridging departs and the dying trough moves through,
but the timing is not favorable.

On Saturday and Saturday evening, a weakening cold front will
approach from the northwest and could help a few
showers/thunderstorms develop. However, there will once again not
be much in the way of upper level support, and the POP looks
limited.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 414 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2024

An updated long term discussion will be sent shortly.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 239 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2024

Mainly VFR conditions are expected through the period. The only
exceptions would be localized IFR or worse conditions in valley
fog overnight and early Saturday (which is not forecast to affect
TAF sites) and a small potential for localized sub-VFR conditions
in convective precip at times.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HAL
LONG TERM...JMW
AVIATION...HAL