Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1
173
FNUS73 KLBF 250408
FWSLBF

Spot Forecast for Unit 16...USFWS
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1108 PM CDT Fri May 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 CDT on May 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact the NWS North Platte office at 308-532-0921 (or
at 1-800-603-3562) if you have any questions or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather concerns will remain low through the weekend with
Green-up conditions, and min RH above 25 percent through Monday.
Recent precipitation along with expected precipitation chances
Saturday and Sunday should keep widespread concerns low.

For the spot forecast area, look for southerly winds to increase
into the afternoon hours and may become gusty late in the
afternoon hours. In addition, there is a threat for thunderstorms
in the late afternoon and evening hours, which may produce erratic
winds in the vicinity of storms.


.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers through
                    the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 18 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....South winds 7 to 11 mph.
LAL.................1 increasing to 3 late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 29 mph decreasing to around 18
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  68  69  70  71  73  74  75  74  73  72  70
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3
Temp............50  51  55  58  62  66  67  71  73  74  75  74
RH..............61  58  53  48  44  40  41  37  37  35  35  39
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  13  14  14  15  16  17  18  17  16  14  14
20 FT wind gust.16  17  20  20  21  23  24  25  24  23  20  20
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   8   8   8   9   10  10  11  10  10  8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  12  12  13  14  14  15  14  14  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.7 2.8 4.5 5.6 6.6 6.9 7.6 6.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  23  24  20  22  24  29  29  29  25  23  18
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy then
                    becoming mostly cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms
                    in the evening. Chance of showers through the
                    night. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 6 mph after 3 am. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the late evening
                    and overnight.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest around 4 mph after 3 am.
LAL.................3 increasing to 4 early in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 3 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 15 mph shifting to the east 13
                    to 14 mph early in the evening, then shifting
                    to the southeast around 12 mph late in the
                    evening shifting to the west overnight shifting
                    to the northwest 12 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  68  65  61  58  55  51  48  52  56  60  65
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............74  71  66  61  58  55  53  52  51  49  49  48
RH..............40  44  54  67  77  86  92  96  100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SW  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.15  13  12  10  9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...5.7 1.9 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  E   E   SE  S   SW  W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.15  13  14  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  13  14
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    morning and early afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 8 mph.
LAL.................3 increasing to 4 late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  73  73  72  72  69  67  64  60  56  52  53
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
LAL.............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
Temp............47  48  50  53  56  59  62  64  66  68  68  68
RH..............100 100 100 90  79  71  62  57  53  49  48  48
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  12  12  13  14  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.9   13  14  15  16  17  18  20  21  22  22  22
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.5   8   8   9   10  10  11  12  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.9 4.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  17  17  16  16  17  18  18  17  16  15  16
Haines index....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Buttler
Requested by...John Graham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415047.0/LBF
.DELDT 05/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john_graham@fws.gov