Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
513 FXUS65 KLKN 210936 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 236 AM PDT Tue May 21 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Mostly sunny today with temperatures a little warmer than Monday, though still a few degrees below normal. Increasing clouds across northern NV tonight into Wednesday, with showers and thunderstorms across mainly just northern Humboldt and northern Elko counties. Gusty westerly winds across the region Wednesday. && .SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday night. Shortwave trough energy exits east into Utah early this morning setting up a dry northwesterly flow aloft for this afternoon. Most locations will warm by a few degrees today. This evening and overnight jet energy drops in from the northwest which will result in increased clouds across northern NV, and some light rain to northern Humboldt and northern Elko counties. Light shower activity continues on Wednesday across northern Humboldt and Elko counties, with a 10-15% chance of thunderstorms up near the Idaho border. A cold front passes from NW to SE across the CWA on Wednesday which will produce gusty westerly winds. Strongest winds are expected over the northern half of the CWA, mainly Humboldt county, northern portions of Lander and Eureka counties, and Elko county. At this time winds look to fall just short of wind advisory criteria (sustained 30 mph) for the majority of each zone, though higher winds are likely across some of the higher summits and mountains. Showers and isolated thunderstorms end Wednesday evening, with winds also diminishing into the late evening hours. .LONG TERM...Thursday through next Tuesday. Cooler than normal temperatures in the 50s and 60s will be in place behind the cold front that will move through the region Wednesday. A few spotty convective showers are expected across central Nevada Thursday and Thursday night but precipitation will be limited. Light west to northwest winds will continue through Friday before southwest winds and warmer temperatures return ahead of the next trough. This trough energy will pass mainly north of the state but a few showers are expected across eastern Nevada Saturday as the upper- level wave propagates eastward in addition to elevated winds of 15-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph. Temperatures will hold steady int eh 70s for Sunday with lows over the weekend in the 30s and 40s. Some freezing temperatures are expected across northern Nevada Sunday morning. A ridging pattern is expected to return early next week bringing warmer temperatures and continued dry conditions to the state Monday and Tuesday. Highs will jump back into the 80s in some valleys farther south and west, with even warmer conditions statewide on Tuesday. && .AVIATION...VFR conditions will be the primary flight conditions through Tuesday. Clouds will continue to dissipate through the overnight period. Light afternoon WNW winds of 5KT to 15KT with gusts up to 25 KT possible for N NV. Winds for central NV terminals KTPH, and KELY will be a bit stronger out of the NW at 10KT to 20KT with a few gusts up to 30KT. && .HYDROLOGY...As high elevation spring snowmelt continues, many streams and creeks coming off snow covered terrain will experience elevated flows. This weeks cooler temperatures have slowed the rate of snowmelt, however elevated flows persist. Late this weekend and into next week as warmer temperatures return, expect flows on many creeks and rivers to rise again, possibly up into action stage. If and when river gauge water levels reach action stage or higher, additional hydrologic products will be issued. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None. && $$ 96/92/98