664
FXUS65 KLKN 010857
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
157 AM PDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Warming trend continues across the Intermountain West today. Over
the next few days, a couple of disturbances are forecast to pass
through the Silver State. This will lead to a chance of afternoon
showers and thunderstorms, breezier conditions, and a moderation
of the warming trend through early next week. By the middle to end
of next week, a building ridge of high pressure will lead to an
appreciable warming trend, sending afternoon highs into the 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Saturday and Sunday.

Blended model guidance continues to advertise afternoon highs
trending upwards a few degrees over yesterday. We`ll be looking at
high temperatures ranging from the upper 70s to mid 80s across the
district. A weak impulse will generate some lift across the
Nevada today, which will lead to a chance of isolated showers
later this afternoon in eastern Elko and White Pine Counties. Any
shower that forms is projected to end during the evening hours.
Additionally, a west to east pressure gradient will form in
response, which will lead to an uptick in westerly winds by
afternoon. Gusts in the 25-30 mph range will be conceivable
through the evening hours.

Afternoon highs trend downward a couple degrees on Sunday in
due to the upper disturbance making its way further through the
Intermountain West. The lift/vorticity associated with this system
on Sunday will be east of the forecast area, so dry weather is
the most likely scenario through the daytime. However, the gusty
conditions are forecast to continue, with gusts again peaking out
around 25-30 mph in the late afternoon and evening hours. By the
late Sunday night, a more substantial trough of low pressure will
begin influencing weather across the district. Isolated showers
late Sunday night cannot be entirely ruled out in northern
Humboldt County ahead of this trough of low pressure.

.LONG TERM...Monday through next Friday.

Monday, an upper level trough will move across portions of the
Pacific Northwest leading to gusty westerly winds 25-35 mph, with
scattered to numerous showers mainly north of and including I-80.
During the afternoon in addition to the scattered to numerous
showers, some isolated thunderstorms may pulse up across northern
Elko county and into southern Idaho. Temperatures will be in the
upper 70s to low 80s, with lows in the mid to upper 40s for most.

Tuesday through some of Thursday, dry conditions prevail as a
ridge builds into the area. This will lead to above average
temperatures in the 90s Wednesday through Saturday. Some moisture
moves under cuts the ridge allowing for some isolated shower
chances across northern Nevada Thursday afternoon. Friday and into
the weekend the ridge begins to break down ahead of an incoming
trough. This will lead to some more shower chances, all north of
I-80.



&&

.AVIATION...

.AVIATION...VFR conditions will continue through the next 24
hours at all terminals. Winds this afternoon become westerly
10-15kts gusting to 25kts over most of the region.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Flows on many small creeks and streams remain
elevated. The lower Humboldt continues to run strong with Battle
Mountain currently in action stage and is expected to remain there
for the next several days.

Wildhorse Reservoir resides in action stage and is forecast to
remain in action stage for the next several days.

Finally, Lamoille Creek will be hovering around action stage for
the next couple days and may even increase slightly as
temperatures slowly climb higher in the afternoon period.


&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

95/91/96