001
FGUS83 KLSX 221610
RVSLSX
ILC077-149-157-163-MOC019-027-051-071-073-127-135-139-151-157-183-
186-189-219-510-231610-


Hydrologic Statement
National Weather Service St Louis MO
1110 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024


*********************************************************************

 With the emergence of newer data sources, the National Weather
 Service in St. Louis is considering discontinuance of this 4-week
 forecast product, issued every Wednesday.  Users of this product are
 encouraged to use the QPF Scenario River Guidance page for
 Mississippi River sites found at:
 https://weather.gov/ncrfc/LMI_WS_QPFScenarioGuidance.
 Also, you can use the the probabilistic spread found at each
 forecast point along the Missouri and Mississippi rivers within the
 Hydrologic Ensemble Forecast Service (HEFS), available within the
 National Water Prediction Service (NWPS) at https://water.noaa.gov.
 After clicking on a forecast site, click on the "Full Information"
 option above the site`s hydrograph, bringing up a new page.  Then
 scroll down to the right of the gauge photos to "Probability
 Information".  Beneath this area you`ll notice 3 thumbnails.  The
 HEFS graphic is typically thumbnail #3.

 The National Weather Service welcomes feedback.  If you have
 concerns, comments, or questions about this product`s proposed
 discontuance, please contact:

        Mark Fuchs
        Senior Service Hydrologist
        National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
        12 Missouri Research Park Drive
        Saint Charles, MO 63304
        Phone:  (636) 447-1876, extension 493
        Email:  nws.stlouis@noaa.gov

*********************************************************************
The National Weather Service has issued the following four week
extended river stage forecast for the Missouri and Mississippi
Rivers.  This product is issued each Wednesday.


River/Station     FS    05/22    Week 1   Week 2   Week 3   Week 4

Missouri River
  Jefferson City  23    11.36     11.6      7.9      6.9      6.3
  Chamois         17     9.50     10.3      5.4      4.3      3.9
  Hermann         21    13.92     13.8      8.8      7.5      7.0
  Washington      20    11.27     11.8      6.8      5.5      5.0
  St. Charles     25    18.39     19.4     14.0     12.3     11.8

Mississippi River
  Hannibal        17    15.71     17.2     15.9     13.7     11.6
  St. Louis       30    22.60     22.7     19.3     13.3      8.3
  Chester         27    25.61     24.2     21.2     16.2     11.3


Each value is the stage forecast for the Wednesday of that week.
These forecasts are based on observed runoff and only include the
next 24 hours of forecast precipitation.  Any additional
precipitation could cause an increase in river stage.

During extreme cold periods ice can form over rivers and on
structures upstream causing river levels to drop lower than
projected.  Stay tuned to the latest hydrologic statements for the
latest information.

$$