Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
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309 FXUS64 KMAF 031647 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX Issued by National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1147 AM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday afternoon) Issued at 248 AM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024 Severe weather is behind us for the time being and now we have heat to worry about for the next few days. Westerly flow aloft will advect in hot air sending highs above 100 degrees for most locations not in the mountains. Temperatures will be particularly hot in the Big Bend where we have a Heat Advisory in effect for this afternoon. Tomorrow will be even hotter as many locations reach or exceed 105 degrees. A Heat Advisory will likely be issued and expanded to include much of the CWA. Heat stress and dehydration will be a big concern and we will message this accordingly. Thankfully dry air will allow temps tonight to drop into the 60s giving us some relief. Hennig && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 248 AM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024 The excessive heat should abate slightly as the ridge begins to move northwest of the area, allowing for cooler and moist southeasterly surface flow. While temperatures won`t be as bad, they do remain hot across the area with widespread upper 90s and low 100s for all each afternoon. On the bright side, some locations can expect rainfall to return towards the end of this week. An upper-low is forecast to sit over Baja with the main ridge axis to our west. This should allow for weak disturbances to influence our area as they round this ridge. We maintain moist low-level flow being to the east of the surface high pressure further aiding rainfall prospects. The abnormally dry western higher elevations appear to finally get their much needed rains with afternoon thunderstorms expected each afternoon Thursday onward. Fortunately, no severe weather is expected as wind shear will be non-existent with this activity but unfortunately this means areas further east can expect to be left out this go round. This pattern appears to hold fairly steady into next weekend with temperatures perhaps becoming a touch cooler and rainfall chances spreading a touch further east. -Chehak && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1133 AM CDT Mon Jun 3 2024 VFR next 24 hours. Gusty west winds this afternoon weaken and become southwest this evening, then strengthen, becoming gusty west again by mid morning Tuesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 103 68 106 69 / 0 0 0 0 Carlsbad 101 71 104 71 / 0 0 0 0 Dryden 105 73 108 73 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 103 71 104 72 / 0 0 0 0 Guadalupe Pass 91 66 95 70 / 0 0 0 0 Hobbs 100 65 102 67 / 0 0 0 0 Marfa 95 58 97 60 / 0 0 0 0 Midland Intl Airport 102 68 105 70 / 0 0 0 0 Odessa 102 69 105 70 / 0 0 0 0 Wink 105 68 108 70 / 0 0 0 0 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-Lower Brewster County-Terrell. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...10 LONG TERM....91 AVIATION...99