Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
612
FNUS54 KMAF 231751
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1251 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024
...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND ADJACENT PLAINS OF WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AS LOW AS 2
PERCENT, 20 FT WINDS GREATER THAN 20 MPH AND EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will persist through this evening across far
west Texas and southeastern New Mexico with with widespread relative
humidities under 5 percent and temperatures 5-10 degrees above normal.
Increasing winds over the mountains and the adjacent plains will
yield critical fire weather conditions. This will combine with
extremely dry fuels helping to increase fire potential in these
areas. Overnight relative humidity recovery will range from poor
across southeastern New Mexico to good across the eastern Permian
Basin. Elevated conditions are possible again on Friday as heat and
low relative humidity values persist. Critical fire weather conditions
are expected Saturday as winds increase across the mountains and
adjacent plains. The forecast looks to remain hot and dry until some
relief arrives Tuesday and Wednesday.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-240930-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
1151 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-2) 88 (+3) 53 87
RH % (24h trend) 15 (-5) 4 (+1) 18 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 16 W 8 SW 12 W 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 11 SW 10 SW 9 W 21
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 45 23 40 48
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10360 9200
Transport Wnd (kts) W 20 W 39
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 207200 358800
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 3 3 6
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows around 60.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. South winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-240930-
Chaves Plains-
1151 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Clear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (0) 92 (0) 53 94
RH % (24h trend) 17 (-32) 4 (+1) 25 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 14 NW 7 S 10 SW 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 9 SW 7 SW 7 SW 17
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 40 19 31 31
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10810 11650
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 16 SW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 172960 372800
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 1 2 6
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-240930-
Eddy Plains-
1151 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-2) 94 (+1) 58 95
RH % (24h trend) 14 (-23) 4 (+1) 19 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 15 NW 6 SW 11 SW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 8 W 8 SW 6 W 21
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 40 22 29 44
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10610 8570
Transport Wnd (kts) W 15 W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 159150 308520
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 6 1 3 7
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Near Crit Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Southeast winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative
humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
20 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-240930-
Lea-
1151 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-2) 92 (0) 53 94
RH % (24h trend) 15 (-71) 5 (+2) 42 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 15 NW 8 SW 9 SW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 9 W 8 S 6 SW 18
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 40 22 24 38
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10220 9670
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 17 SW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 173740 299770
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 0 1 7
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Elevated Extreme
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northwest
winds around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Southeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-240930-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
1251 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024 /1151 AM MDT Thu May 23 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS
EVENING...
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-3) 87 (+5) 55 87
RH % (24h trend) 12 (0) 4 (+1) 15 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 17 W 12 W 11 W 15
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 14 W 14 SW 9 W 21
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 44 27 31 49
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7410 8450
Transport Wnd (kts) W 18 W 37
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 133380 312650
Vent Category Very good Excellent
RFTI 6 3 3 6
RFTI Category Critical Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ275>282-240930-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
1251 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-5) 99 (+4) 57 103
RH % (24h trend) 14 (-22) 2 (-1) 14 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8 W 7 SW 6 W 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 6 W 9 Lgt/Var W 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 28 21 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9260 11120
Transport Wnd (kts) W 18 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 166680 278000
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 0 0 2
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-240930-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Including the city of Van Horn
1251 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING...
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-2) 93 (+2) 57 95
RH % (24h trend) 13 (-2) 3 (0) 14 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 13 W 9 W 8 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10 W 10 SW 6 W 17
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 41 27 28 41
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9450 9120
Transport Wnd (kts) W 19 W 34
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 179550 310080
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 5 2 1 6
RFTI Category Critical Elevated Elevated Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Isolated showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below
15 percent. Chance of showers 20 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Chance of precipitation
30 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-240930-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
1251 PM CDT Thu May 23 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-4) 99 (+1) 56 102
RH % (24h trend) 34 (-50) 3 (-2) 72 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 10 W 7 SW 6 SW 5
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6 W 8 Lgt/Var W 12
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 23 23 29
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10280 11060
Transport Wnd (kts) W 17 SW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 174760 309680
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 0 0 4
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Nil Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Scattered showers with isolated
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum relative
humidity above 15 percent. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
East winds around 10 mph.
$$