Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
260
FNUS54 KMAF 211907
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
207 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Above normal temperatures persist the next seven days, with a
significant drying trend underway that will see widespread RHs
under 5 percent by the end of this week through the weekend. While
winds generally remain light (around 15 mph for most), stronger
winds are possible across the mountain areas, which could lend to
localized critical fire weather conditions. ERCs west of the Pecos
are forecast to eclipse the 97th percentile, thus even while winds
won`t be especially strong, fires that start will have potential
to grow and spread. Intermittent critical fire weather conditions
will be possible, especially on Saturday when winds increase across
the Guadalupe Mountains, SE NM Plains, and Upper Trans Pecos. Aside
from a low chance of storms from Snyder to Sanderson on Wednesday,
the forecast remains dry for the next week.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-220915-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
107 PM MDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (-9) 86 (+2) 51 86
RH % (24h trend) 37 (+9) 5 (-4) 17 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 13 NW 9 SW 12 W 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 8 SE 11 W 9 W 18
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 38 10 37 31
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10450 10880
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 23 W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 240350 359040
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 3 3 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
North winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-220915-
Chaves Plains-
107 PM MDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-8) 90 (-1) 53 95
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+25) 9 (+1) 47 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 N 10 S 10 SW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 6 E 8 SW 7 W 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 34 6 35 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 8810 13850
Transport Wnd (kts) N 21 W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 185010 332400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 0 2 4
RFTI Category Near Crit Nil Elevated Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-220915-
Eddy Plains-
107 PM MDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-8) 92 (0) 56 95
RH % (24h trend) 31 (+8) 6 (-3) 37 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11 NW 9 SW 11 SW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6 NW 10 SW 7 W 18
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 18 33 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10060 11910
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 19 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 191140 357300
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 1 3 6
RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-220915-
Lea-
107 PM MDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-8) 91 (0) 54 94
RH % (24h trend) 46 (+18) 8 (0) 68 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 11 N 9 S 9 SW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5 NW 9 SE 7 SW 16
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 30 22 28 24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9120 12640
Transport Wnd (kts) NW 18 SW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 164160 366560
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 1 1 5
RFTI Category Near Crit Elevated Elevated Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-220915-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
207 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 /107 PM MDT Tue May 21 2024/
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mclear Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-8) 88 (+6) 55 86
RH % (24h trend) 21 (-2) 4 (-8) 12 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12 W 12 W 13 W 14
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 9 W 15 W 10 W 20
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 35 17 33 34
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9730 9010
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 W 34
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 214060 306340
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 4 4 6
RFTI Category Elevated Near Crit Near Crit Critical
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-220915-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
207 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Clear Mclear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 62 (-6) 102 (+7) 57 100
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+12) 4 (-5) 35 2
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 6 W 7 W 8 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 5 W 11 NW 6 W 13
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 29 26 30
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12020 12200
Transport Wnd (kts) W 23 W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 276460 341600
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 2 2 3
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-220915-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
207 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 10 0
Temp (24h trend) 65 (-6) 100 (+4) 61 100
RH % (24h trend) 83 (+21) 3 (-7) 98 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 7 SW 8 NE 8 SW 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6 W 10 SE 6 W 13
LAL 1 2 1 1
Haines Index 6 6 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 28 26 24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9150 12420
Transport Wnd (kts) W 19 SW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 173850 322920
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 0 0 4
RFTI Category Elevated Nil Nil Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around
100. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
$$