Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 260341
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260340
OKZ000-260445-
Mesoscale Discussion 0964
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
Areas affected...Northeast OK
Concerning...Tornado Watch 308...311...
Valid 260340Z - 260445Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 308, 311 continues.
SUMMARY...Threat for hail up to 2" in diameter, strong gusts, and
perhaps a tornado continues across northeast Oklahoma.
DISCUSSION...A well-organized supercell continues to progress
eastward across Osage County in northeast OK. Recent data from the
INX VAD sampled over 70 kt of 0-6 km bulk shear and over 400 m2/s2
of 0-1 km storm-relative helicity. Strong buoyancy exists
immediately downstream of this storm as well, but some decrease in
the buoyancy is possible farther east into far northeast OK where
preceding storms have resulted in a corridor of warmer and drier low
to mid-level temperatures. Additionally, recent radar trends suggest
this storm may be becoming a bit more outflow dominant. Even so,
some additional reorganization is possible amd this storm is
expected to remain intense, capable of producing very large hail up
to 2" in diameter, strong gusts, and perhaps a tornado. A local
extension in time of Tornado Watch 308 may be needed for Osage
County.
..Mosier.. 05/26/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TSA...
LAT...LON 36509673 36909638 36889527 36579504 36109550 36129645
36509673