757
FXUS66 KMFR 271520
AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
820 AM PDT Mon May 27 2024

.DISCUSSION...Satellite image shows clear skies over most of the
forecast area. The only exception is marine stratus from Cape Blanco
north into the Coquille Basin, northwest Douglas county and in and
around Brookings. The marine stratus will gradually burn off this
morning with clear skies in the afternoon. We took a closer look at
the thunderstorm potential later this afternoon and evening east of
the Cascades and northern Cal and it still exist, but it could end
up bring more ofthe exception and not the rule. Meaning a few
isolated storms are possible, but odds are we`ll just have some
building cumulus in these areas. Some fine tuning of the slight
chance of thunderstorms were made for this afternoon and evening,
otherwise the coverage area looks pretty good given what were seeing
from the most current data. Any storms will dissipate early this
evening with dry weather likely for tonight. -Petrucelli


&&

.AVIATION...27/12Z TAFs...VFR conditions will prevail through the
TAF period for most areas. The exception will be along the coast
and just offshore from Cape Blanco north, Coquille Basin, and
around Brookings where the marine stratus will persist this
morning. The marine stratus should burn off towards 18z inland,
but it could hold on along the coast beyond 18z, although
ceilings should improve to VFR by then and lasting into this
evening. Expect the typical uptick in afternoon breezes this
afternoon.
-Hermansen/Petrucelli


&&

.MARINE...Updated 800 AM Monday, May 27, 2024...Relatively calm
conditions will continue through Tuesday. Expect some locally gusty
north winds (15 to 20 kt) south of Cape Blanco within 20 nm from
shore through this afternoon. Otherwise, relatively light winds and
seas are expected, and a weak upper trough will bring some slight
(10-25%) chances for showers north of Cape Blanco on Tuesday.

An upper ridge will build on Wednesday and remain in place through
the rest of the week with a strong thermal trough developing. This
will bring increasing north winds, with conditions hazardous to
small craft likely for all areas by Thursday. Strong north winds may
reach gales (50-90% chance) south of Cape Blanco, with the highest
chance for locations south of Gold Beach. Gusty winds and steep to
very steep and hazardous seas are likely through the end of the
week. Conditions may improve over the weekend. /BR-y/Hermansen


&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.

&&

$$