490
FNUS76 KMFR 231727
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Simon RX...US Forest Service
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
1027 AM PDT Thu May 23 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 PDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Friday afternoon the general wind will be from the
west, but I expect the terrain provides some sheltering and causes
the wind to be more form the southwest, coming up the entrance
of the N. Umpqua river drainage. Rain amounts Friday day should remain
less than 0.1 inch, but overnight, between 0.05 and 0.15 inches is
realistic. This active showery pattern should prevent inversion
formation Friday night. High pressure builds in this weekend, with
warming, drying, east flow along ridges and valley flows at low elevations
under the inversions.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). 35% chance of rain
                    showers in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, increasing to 60% in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 59 degrees.
Min humidity........Around 45 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest around 2 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 6 mph.
CWR.................7 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). 55% chance of rain
showers through the night.
Min temperature.....Around 39 degrees.
Max humidity........Around 97 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest around 2 mph in the evening becoming
                    south around 1 mph in the early morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest at 3 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    south-southwest around 1 to 3 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
CWR.................37 percent.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). 15% chance of rain before
noon, with trace accumulations.
Max temperature.....Around 56 degrees.
Min humidity........Around 45 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest around 1 mph becoming west at 1 to 4 mph
in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest at 1 to 3 mph becoming west at 3 to 8 mph
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
CWR.................19 percent.

$$
Forecaster...MILES
Requested by...Stacy Ainslie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2415011.0/MFR
.DELDT 05/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL stacy.ainslie@usda.gov