834
FNUS76 KMFR 230452
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Scott Bar Mt. RX...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
952 PM PDT Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PDT on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...After a cold start, Thursday will be mainly sunny
with warmer and drier weather and weak winds in the morning
becoming seasonably breezy in the afternoon. A trough and dry
front will move in Friday into early Saturday. This will be well
north of the burn site with no chance for precipitation, but there
will be a slight increase in winds Friday afternoon and evening
(not nearly as strong as today`s winds, however). High pressure
will bring warming and drying Sunday and Monday, again with weak
morning winds giving way to seasonable afternoon breezes. Another
trough is likely Tuesday into Wednesday, but again there is a very
high chance northern CA will remain dry.


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny, clear.
Max temperature.....75 (3600 ft) to 79 (2400 ft) degrees.
Min humidity........10-12 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable to easterly 1-2 mph becoming west 3-5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 6-7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 8500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (high clouds, increasing cloudiness
in the evening).
Min temperature.....44-46 degrees.
Max humidity........57 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 3-5 mph in the evening, occasional
gusts to 6-7 mph in the early evening, becoming variable
1-2 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5-6 mph in the evening
                    becoming variable 2-3 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Max temperature.....71 (3600 ft) to 74 (2400 ft) degrees.
Min humidity........19-21 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable 1-2 mph becoming west around 4-6 mph in
                    the late afternoon/early evening, occasional gusts to
10-12 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 9-12 mph in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light,
variable winds 1-2 mph increasing in the afternoon/early evening
to 3-5 mph. RH trending about the same as Friday-9y`s.
.SUNDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the low 80s. Light,
variable winds 1-2 mph increasing in the afternoon/early evening
to 3-5 mph. RH trending downwards.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid to high 80s.
Light, variable winds 1-2 mph increasing in the afternoon/early
evening to 3-5 mph. RH trending slightly downwards.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in low 80s. RH
trending about the same as Monday.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the high 70s to low
80s.

$$
Forecaster...PRICE
Requested by...Thomas Shickle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414970.0/MFR
.DELDT 05/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.shickle@usda.gov