309
FXUS62 KMLB 280545
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
145 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 137 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

VFR conditions are forecast to continue across the terminals early
this morning with winds remaining light and variable. Winds will
pick up out of the west at 5 to 10 knots across all terminals
today, with some places along the coast gusting up to 15 knots at
times. An approaching weak frontal boundary combined with the
east coast sea breeze will lead to increasing rain and storm
chances across the area after 12Z, with VCSH and VCTS possible at
all terminals. Will likely need to add in TEMPOs with the next
forecast package as confidence in timing of storms increases.
Lingering VCSH will be possible until around 03Z along the coastal
terminals from the Cape southward. Activity will then diminish
after 03Z, with winds becoming light and variable.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1009 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

It`s currently dry over east central Florida with few to scattered
mid-to-upper level clouds, mainly to the north of I-4. A mid
level trough is currently over the Deep Southeast and northern
Florida. Current temperatures are still warm, especially for this
time of night with temperatures in the low to upper 80s and are
expected to drop into the low to upper 70s overnight into the
morning hours. Mostly dry conditions are forecast overnight with
increasing cloud cover into Tuesday morning to the north of I-4
ahead of the approaching shortwave. A slim chance of showers
(PoPs~ 15%) is forecast into early Tuesday morning along the
Treasure Coast. West winds well inland and southeast winds to the
east will become light overnight from the west-southwest at around
5-8mph.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1009 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

Currently-Tonight... Favorable boating conditions are expected
overnight. A shortwave will approach the waters into Tuesday
morning. Isolated showers are possible (PoPs ~ 20%) well ahead of
the trough into early Tuesday, mainly offshore. West to southwest
winds at around 10-15kts offshore (20-60nm), as well as over the
nearshore Treasure Coast waters are forecast with 5-10kts over the
nearshore Volusia and Brevard county waters. Seas are forecast to
build to 1-3ft.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  93  72  91  70 /  30  10  10   0
MCO  94  74  96  71 /  40  10  10   0
MLB  94  74  91  73 /  50  30  20  10
VRB  95  72  92  72 /  50  40  20  10
LEE  92  73  95  71 /  30   0  10   0
SFB  95  73  96  71 /  30  10  10   0
ORL  94  74  97  73 /  40  10  10   0
FPR  95  72  92  71 /  50  40  30  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...
AVIATION...Tollefsen