357
FXUS62 KMLB 021419
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1019 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1006 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

High pressure settles in over the western Atlantic today, with
onshore flow aiding a few showers moving onshore along the
Treasure Coast this morning. Winds will be lighter today than
yesterday, but the sea breeze is still forecast to lead to breezy
conditions this afternoon, especially along the coast, with wind
gusts of 20-25mph. Westerly flow aloft will advect in some higher
moisture into the mid and upper levels, allowing for isolated to
scattered PoPs today. The highest chances (40-50%) will be south
of Orlando, especially over the interior. To the north, PoPs
20-30%, with the Volusia County coast likely to remain the driest.
CAMs continue to suggest development well past sunset, with
activity moving offshore from the Treasure and southern Brevard
coasts overnight tonight. Thus, have maintained PoPs around 40-50%
for this area past sunset. Main threats with any storms will be
gusty winds and lightning strikes.

A warming trend will begin today, with high temperatures creeping
up a few degrees from Saturday. Forecast highs are in the mid to
upper 80s along the coast and upper 80s to lower 90s inland.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 701 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

Onshore moving showers are expected this morning near the
Treasure Coast. Scattered lightning storms are expected this
evening over the interior before pushing offshore of the Treasure
Coast. E winds at 5-12kts will increase into the afternoon at
12-15kts with gusts to 20-24kts. VCTS is forecast after 20Z over
the western interior and near the Treasure Coast between 23Z-05Z.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 507 AM EDT Sun Jun 2 2024

High pressure offshore the Carolina coast this morning will
continue seaward over the western Atlantic. A trailing ridge axis
will extend westward across north Florida into midweek,
maintaining the onshore flow. The ridge axis is forecast to then
slip south across the waters late week. Conditions will be less
than ideal today for small craft but conditions will become more
favorable Monday and continue much of the upcoming week.

ESE winds starting out near 15 knots this morning and choppy seas
4 to 5 feet will gradually improve through the afternoon. The
onshore flow will decrease 7-10 knots tonight with slight
enhancement of 12-14 knots each aftn near the coast behind the
sea breeze. Seas generally 2-3 FT Tue-Thu.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  86  71  87  71 /  20  20  30  10
MCO  89  71  90  71 /  30  20  40  10
MLB  86  73  87  73 /  30  30  40  20
VRB  87  71  88  71 /  40  40  40  20
LEE  90  71  91  72 /  30  10  40  10
SFB  89  71  91  71 /  20  20  40  10
ORL  90  72  91  72 /  30  20  40  10
FPR  86  70  87  71 /  50  40  50  20

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Leahy
AVIATION...Fehling