849
FXUS64 KMOB 281733
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1233 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

VFR conditions are expected through Wednesday morning.
Northwesterly winds at 5 to 10 knots may briefly become
southwesterly near this coast this afternoon, otherwise winds
become calm or light and variable by early evening. A
northeasterly flow at 5 to 10 knots develops Wednesday morning.
/29

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Wednesday)
Issued at 1233 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024

An upper trof over the eastern states amplifies a bit through
Wednesday while a series of shortwaves continue to move across the
forecast area within the base of the upper trof. A surface ridge
extending from the northern Plains into the southeast states
shifts a bit eastward through Wednesday. This promotes a primarily
dry northerly surface flow, although the slight movement of the
surface ridge allows for a southerly flow to develop Wednesday
afternoon from near the coast of the western Florida panhandle
into southeast Mississippi, aided by the sea breeze. Deep layer
moisture begins to improve on Wednesday mainly over the western
half of the area which may be sufficient to allow for isolated to
possibly scattered convection to develop in the afternoon over
southeast Mississippi and much of southwestern Alabama along the
weak convergent zone created by the southerly flow. For the rest
of today, have made some minor adjustments to daytime highs and
dewpoint values. For tonight, lows range from the lower 60s well
inland to around 70 at the immediate coast. Highs on Wednesday
look to be mostly in the lower 90s. A moderate risk of rip
currents this afternoon will be followed by a low risk for tonight
and Wednesday. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      69  93  70  88  68  88  71  86 /   0  10  10  20  10  20  20  50
Pensacola   71  92  73  87  71  87  73  84 /   0  10   0  10  10  20  20  40
Destin      71  90  73  87  73  87  74  84 /   0  10   0  10  10  10  10  40
Evergreen   63  93  66  89  65  90  66  87 /   0  20  10  20  20  20  20  50
Waynesboro  65  91  66  87  64  89  67  86 /   0  30  20  30  20  30  20  50
Camden      62  91  66  87  65  88  66  86 /   0  20  10  20  20  20  20  50
Crestview   64  94  66  91  66  91  67  87 /   0  10   0  10  10  20  10  40

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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